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程冠林 · 2024年01月15日

关于题干理解

NO.PZ2022123002000019

问题如下:

Testa acquired a Spanish packaging company. The Spanish investment involved Testa acquiring 200,000 shares of a packaging company at EUR90 per share. He decided to fully hedge the position with a six month USD/EUR forward contract. Details of the euro hedge at initiation and three months later are provided in Exhibit 1. Three months after the purchase, the shares had increased to EUR100 each, but Testa, believing that a still higher price was likely, maintained the position. He also indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its maturity.

Exhibit 1 2009 Spot and Forward USD/EUR Quotes (Bid-Offer) and Annualized Libor Rates

If the 2009 forward hedge had been rolled forward at its maturity, using Exhibit 1, the roll yield would most likely have been:

选项:

A.

negative, but the currency change made it less negative

B.

positive, but the currency change reduced some of this effect

C.

negative, and the currency change made it even more negative

解释:

Correct Answer: C

In implementing the hedge, euros (the base currency) must be sold against the US dollar. The base currency is selling at a discount and thus would “roll up the curve” as the contract approaches maturity. Settlement of the forward contract would entail buying euros at a higher price—that is, selling low and buying high—resulting in a negative roll yield. Since the euro has appreciated by the time the hedge needs to be extended, this tends to further increase the cost of euros to settle the original contract and makes the roll yield even more negative—that is, sell low, buy even higher.

题干有两句话的理解不是很清晰,1.He also indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its maturity.

2.If the 2009 forward hedge had been rolled forward at its maturity。这两句话不矛盾吗?

另外,是从题干哪里判断出来,需要3月时点平仓,再重新roll的?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa31 · 2024年01月15日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


1.就是T这个人买了西班牙公司的股票,担心欧元下跌,所以short 6个月 forward on EUR。‘Three months after the purchase, the shares had increased to EUR100 each, but Testa, believing that a still higher price was likely, maintained the position. He also indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its maturity.’然后这一大堆话的意思就是这个欧元资产三个月以后升值了,所以这个时候就存在外汇敞口了,这个人又不想卖现货,因为他觉得这个外币资产未来还有升值空间,然后又说了一句不想到期再滚仓,这里就是在告诉我们他要在三个月这个时间点滚仓。


2.He also indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its maturity.

这句话的意思是这个不想等到期再去roll进新合约,意识就是在3个月时间点就要滚仓了。


3.If the 2009 forward hedge had been rolled forward at its maturity。

这句话的意思是:如果用于对冲的2009这个远期合约在到期时会进行滚仓。直白点说就是这个2009的远期合约到期后会再滚进一份新的合约(根据题干中的表格1的表头信息我们可以猜测这个远期合约就简称为了2009 forward)。

但这句话其实是毫无意义的,因为根据题干我们知道这个合约是6个月到期的,然后本题问的是3个月时间点就想roll 进一份新的合约。所以根本就没有等到它到期嘛。


这道题目之前是某一年的mock题目,现在被收入了我们的经典题中,同学如果实在不明白,可以去听下经典题的讲解,何老师在讲解的时候也说过这一点,就是题目本身是有问题的,当然这也符合mock题目一贯有错题的风格了。我们做这道题目的时候就着重理清思路,掌握知识点,对细节可以不必过于纠结哈。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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