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bigeagle · 2024年01月10日

老师,不太懂,辛苦讲一下

NO.PZ2023112701000048

问题如下:

An analyst is analyzing company XYZ and has gathered annual invested capital and ROIC for each of the three XYZ business segments.


Based on the information provided, XYZ’s management is most likely prone to which of the following biases?

选项:

A.Inertia B.Sunk cost C.Pet project

解释:

Correct Answer: A

A is correct. Inertia can be identified by examining the level of capital investment in total, by segment, or by business line, if disclosed, and comparing it to the prior year and the return on investment. If capital investment each year is static or rising despite falling returns on investment, the analyst should question the issuer’s justification for a capital investment and whether management should consider alternative uses. In the case of XYZ, we can observe that for segments A and B, ROIC is decreasing, but both segments are getting a higher capital allocation each year.

B is incorrect because sunk cost is related to the capital allocation process in determining a potential project’s profitability. Sunk costs, or those expenses that have already been incurred, should be ignored when evaluating potential projects.

C is incorrect because a detailed view of individual investment projects undertaken by XYZ’s management is not provided. Identifying pet projects from outside the firm is difficult, because financial statements are aggregated and such projects may not meet the threshold of materiality.

老师,不太懂,辛苦讲一下

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2024年01月11日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


1

题目考查资本分配中常见的心理偏差

Inertia 可以翻译为惯性

就是咱们做资本分配时,没有考虑到市场大环境等的变化,而是仅参考去年的情况,再去年的基础上做微调

2

常见的考查角度,就是公司可能有多个部门

在考虑每个部门的资本投资时,没有考虑部门各自的 ROIC,仅基于去年的情况

比如 A 部门,明明 ROIC 是逐年降低,应该减少投资,但还是仅基于之前年份的情况,加大对该部门的投资

也请参考基础班讲义墨迹版 P281

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