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lxwfj9 · 2024年01月03日

没明白

NO.PZ2022122601000027

问题如下:

Bader then uses the Singer–Terhaar model and the final shrinkage-estimated VCV matrix to determine the equilibrium expected equity returns for all international asset classes by country. Three of the markets under consideration are located in Country A (developed market), Country B (emerging market), and Country C (emerging market). Bader projects that in relation to the global market, the equity market in Country A will remain highly integrated, the equity market in Country B will become more segmented, and the equity market in Country C will become more fully integrated.

Based on expectations for changes in integration with the global market, all else being equal, the Singer–Terhaar model implies that Bader should shift capital from Country A to:

选项:

A.only Country B B.only Country C C.both Countries B and C

解释:

Correct Answer: B

Bader expects the equity market in Country C (an emerging market) to become more fully integrated with the global market while Country A (a developed market) remains highly integrated. All else being equal, the Singer–Terhaar model implies that when a market becomes more globally integrated (segmented), its required return should decline (rise). As prices adjust to a lower (higher) required return, the market should deliver an even higher (lower) return than was previously expected or required by the market. Therefore, the allocation to markets that are moving toward integration should be increased. If a market is moving toward integration, its increased allocation will come at the expense of markets that are already highly integrated. This will typically entail a shift from developed markets to emerging markets.

中文解析:

Bader预计,C国(新兴市场)的股票市场将更加充分地与全球市场整合,而A国(发达市场)仍将保持高度整合。在其他条件相同的情况下,辛格-特哈尔模型表明,当一个市场变得更加全球一体化(细分)时,其要求回报应该下降(上升)。当价格调整到更低(更高)的要求回报时,市场应该提供比之前预期或市场要求更高(更低)的回报。因此,应该增加对正在走向一体化的市场的分配。如果一个市场正在走向一体化,其增加的分配将以牺牲已经高度一体化的市场为代价。这通常需要从发达市场转向新兴市场。

整合收益低,分散程度也低。怎么看都应该选分割市场啊,又搞收益又分散

2 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2024年01月04日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这是需要观察折现率未来趋势

折现率未来呈现下降趋势(整合后风险补偿降低),那么价格就会越来越高。

关键是看趋势是如何变化的。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

源_品职助教 · 2024年01月03日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:



这题结论是投资C国

C国特征是 Country C will become more fully integrated.

也就是C国有一个从segmented到 integrated的过程。

在这个过程中,要求回报率会降低,价格会变高,投资者就会收益。


----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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2024-01-10 14:49 2 · 回答

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