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程冠林 · 2023年12月19日

选项已经超range了呢?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201805280100000206

问题如下:

Given McCall’s IPS recommendation, the most appropriate new strategic asset allocation for the KCPF is:

选项:

A.

40% stocks/60% bonds.

B.

65% stocks/35% bonds.

C.

75% stocks/25% bonds.

解释:

A is correct.

McCall recommends a new IPS. Changes in the economic environment and capital market expectations or changes in the beliefs of committee members are factors that may lead to an altering of the principles that guide investment activities. Because the plan is now overfunded, there is less need to take a higher level of equity risk. The Pension Committee is concerned about the impact of future market and economic risks on the funding status of the plan. Katt Company operates in a cyclical industry and could have difficulty making pension contributions during a recession. Therefore, a substantial reduction in the allocation to stocks and an increase in bonds reduce risk. The 40% stocks/60% bonds alternative increases the allocation to bonds from 35% to 60%. Increasing the fixed- income allocation should moderate plan risk, provide a better hedge for liabilities, and reduce contribution uncertainty.

考点:revising the strategic asset allocation

解析:当前资产配置为65% stocks/35% bonds。由于公司处于cyclical industry周期性行业,这意味着经济变差,公司的业绩会受经济影响变差,对KCPF的contribution会下降,因此KCPF应当转向更保守的投资,以免承受经济变差带来的损失。另外,由于当前KCPF overfunded,asset足以cover liability,因此不需要投资激进,无需承担更高风险,也是应当转向更保守的投资。比65% stocks/35% bonds更保守的是A选项40% stocks/60% bonds.

按照最后一段描述“The goal is to benefit from equity market trends by automatically increasing (decreasing) the allocation to equities by 5% whenever the S&P 500Index 50- day moving average crosses above (below) the 200- day moving average.”equity的range是65%+-5%,即60%-70%。这样的话目前的答案是超IPS range的。

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已采纳答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2023年12月19日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


quity的range是65%+-5%,即60%-70%。这样的话目前的答案是超IPS range的。


IPS中确定的是target portfolio是SAA的配置权重,


relalancing range是TAA的调整范围。


你问的这道题是target portfolio的配置权重发生变化,变到什么程度,


而你说的“equity的range是65%+-5%,即60%-70%”是rebalancing range,是TAA的概念,与题干并不是一回事儿


打个比方,这就相当于数量中的点估计与区间估计,SAA就是那个点估计,现在是那个中枢变了,与上下浮动几倍标准差的区间范围是没关系的

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