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小菜菜 · 2023年12月18日

是否需要考虑pension的liquidity needs?

NO.PZ2018031301000005

问题如下:

Viktoria Johansson is newly appointed as manager of ABC Corporation’s pension fund. The current market value of the fund’s assets is $10 billion, and the present value of the fund’s liabilities is $8.5 billion. The fund has historically been managed using an asset-only approach, but Johansson recommends to ABC’s board of directors that they adopt a liability-relative approach, specifically the hedging/return-seeking portfolios approach. Johansson assumes that the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds. Exhibit 1 presents three potential asset allocation choices for the fund.

Exhibit 1 Potential Asset Allocations Choices for ABC Corp’s Pension Fund


Determine which asset allocation in Exhibit 1 would be most appropriate for Johansson given her recommendation. Justify your response.

选项:

解释:

■ Allocation 3 is most appropriate.
■ To fully hedge the fund’s liabilities, 85% ($8.5 billion/$10.0 billion) of the fund’s assets would be linked to index-linked government bonds.
■ Residual $1.5 billion surplus would be invested into a return-seeking portfolio.

The pension fund currently has a surplus of $1.5 billion ($10.0 billion – $8.5 billion). To adopt a hedging/return-seeking portfolios approach, Johansson would first hedge the liabilities by allocating an amount equal to the present value of the fund’s liabilities, $8.5 billion, to a hedging portfolio. The hedging portfolio must include assets whose returns are driven by the same factors that drive the returns of the liabilities, which in this case are the index-linked government bonds.

So, Johansson should allocate 85% ($8.5 billion/$10.0 billion) of the fund’s assets to index-linked government bonds. Te residual $1.5 billion surplus would then be invested into a return-seeking portfolio. Therefore, Allocation 3 would be the most appropriate asset allocation for the fund because it allocates 85% of the fund’s assets to index-linked government bonds and the remainder to a return seeking portfolio consisting of corporate bonds and equities.

主要有以下两个问题请教一下老师:

  1. 如果在考试中,题目中没有说明pension的状态(frozen等等的情况),需要考虑pension的liquidity needs吗?
  2. 对于“the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds”这句话要怎么理解呢?


我的解题思路是这样的,麻烦老师看下主要问题:

  1. 首先看到liability的占比是85%,排除allocate 2,在allocation1和3之间选择
  2. 对 the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds 这句话,我理解为了国债利率是负债端收益率的主要影响因素
  3. allocation1和3中都有较大比例投资于index-linked government bonds,可以cover liability,同时考虑到pension可能还会有liquid needs,所以allocation配了cash,更合适
1 个答案
已采纳答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2023年12月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


主要有以下两个问题请教一下老师:

  1. 如果在考试中,题目中没有说明pension的状态(frozen等等的情况),需要考虑pension的liquidity needs吗?


不用,一定要根据题干来回答。


  1. 对于“the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds”这句话要怎么理解呢?


这句话很重要,就是给出信息点的句子,这就暗示负债和抗通胀债券的收益的驱动因素是一样的,即收益率一样,不会出现hedging portfolio就是抗通胀债券的现值低于liability现值的情况。


也就是说能够很好地匹配fund liabilities的是 index-linked government, 而Allocation 3 的 index-linked government占比正好是85%,所以最合适。




我的解题思路是这样的,麻烦老师看下主要问题:

  1. 首先看到liability的占比是85%,排除allocate 2,在allocation1和3之间选择
  2. 对 the returns of the fund’s liabilities are driven by changes in the returns of index-linked government bonds 这句话,我理解为了国债利率是负债端收益率的主要影响因素
  3. allocation1和3中都有较大比例投资于index-linked government bonds,可以cover liability,同时考虑到pension可能还会有liquid needs,所以allocation配了cash,更合适


第一点对,第二点错了,


hedging/return-seeking 首先要考虑的是hedging portfolio,只有liabilities全部覆盖了,多出来的部分才能进行return-seeking。


所以在传统的hedging/return-seeking方法下,一定是 overfunded ,否则没有多余的部分进行return-seeking。


因为liabilities已经全部覆盖了,也就是说只要有未来现金流的流出,hedging portfolio这部分就有现金流的流入,完全匹配上了,因此return-seeking的部分可以放心大胆的投资,不需要再保守了。


然后结合这道题最重要的那句话,就可以选出答案了。

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