开发者:上海品职教育科技有限公司 隐私政策详情

应用版本:4.2.11(IOS)|3.2.5(安卓)APP下载

youtkr · 2023年11月21日

structual model、reduced form model和model、LEI、checklist这两种分类方式

NO.PZ2022122601000004

问题如下:

Wakuluk’s approach to economic forecasting utilizes a structural model in conjunction with a diffusion index to determine the current phase of a country’s business cycle. This approach has produced successful predictions in the past, thus Wakuluk has high confidence in the predictions.

Wakuluk’s approach to economic forecasting:

选项:

A.is flexible and limited in complexity B.can give a false sense of precision and provide false signals C.imposes no consistency of analysis across items or at different points in time

解释:

Correct Answer: B

B is correct. Wakuluk’s approach to economic forecasting utilizes both a structural model (e.g., an econometric model approach) and a diffusion index (e.g., a leading indicator-based approach). However, the two approaches have weaknesses: An econometric model approach may give a false sense of precision, and a leading indicator-based approach can provide false signals. Two strengths of the checklist approach are its flexibility and limited complexity, although one weakness is that it imposes no consistency of analysis across items or at different points in time.

中文解析:

正确答案:B

B正确。Wakuluk的经济预测方法利用了结构模型(例如,计量经济模型方法)和扩散指数(例如,基于领先指标的方法)。然而,这两种方法都有缺点:计量经济模型方法可能会给人一种错误的精确感觉,而基于领先指标的方法可能会提供错误的信号。检查表方法的两个优点是它的灵活性和有限的复杂性,尽管一个缺点是它在项目之间或在不同的时间点上没有强制分析的一致性。

这两种分类方式是怎么个关系

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年11月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


structual model、reduced form model和model

这几个都是用模型做预测。模型里可以包括几十个,上百个指标,也可以自己发明新的指标算法。


LEI

统计局会发布一些列经济指标,其中有的指标领先,有的指标同步,有的指标滞后。

寻找其中的领先指标,来做经济预测,这就是领先指标法


checklist

调查问卷法。


各个方法的优缺点需要同学掌握。知识点如下。

本题使用了模型与LEI,因此选B,B分别讲述了模型法与LEI的缺点。




----------------------------------------------
加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

  • 1

    回答
  • 0

    关注
  • 347

    浏览
相关问题

NO.PZ2022122601000004 问题如下 Wakuluk’s approato economic forecasting utilizes a structuralmol in conjunction with a ffusion inx to termine the current phase of acountry’s business cycle. This approahprocesuccessful prections inthe past, thus Wakuluk hhigh confinin the prections.Wakuluk’sapproato economic forecasting: A.is flexible anlimitein complexity B.cgive a false sense of precision anprovifalse signals C.imposes no consistenof analysis across itemsor fferent points in time CorreAnswer: is correct.Wakuluk’s approato economic forecasting utilizes both a structurmol(e.g., econometric mol approach) ana ffusion inx (e.g., a leangincator-baseapproach). However, the two approaches have weaknesses: Aneconometric mol approamgive a false sense of precision, ana leangincator-baseapproacprovi false signals. Two strengths of thechecklist approaare its flexibility anlimitecomplexity, although oneweakness is thit imposes no consistenof analysis across items or atfferent points in time. 中文解析正确答案:BB正确。Wakuluk的经济预测方法利用了结构模型(例如,计量经济模型方法)和扩散指数(例如,基于领先指标的方法)。然而,这两种方法都有缺点:计量经济模型方法可能会给人一种错误的精确感觉,而基于领先指标的方法可能会提供错误的信号。检查表方法的两个优点是它的灵活性和有限的复杂性,尽管一个缺点是它在项目之间或在不同的时间点上没有强制分析的一致性。 C是什么意思?哪个知识点?

2023-08-08 06:04 1 · 回答