NO.PZ2017092702000062
问题如下:
If the probability that Zolaf Company sales exceed last year’s sales is 0.167, the odds for exceeding sales are closest to:
选项:
A.1 to 5.
B.1 to 6.
C.5 to 1.
解释:
A is correct.
Given odds for E of a to b, the implied probability of E = a/(a + b). Stated in terms of odds a to b with a = 1, b = 5, the probability of E = 1/(1 + 5) = 1/6 = 0.167. This result confirms that a probability of 0.167 for beating sales is odds of 1 to 5.
本题直接代入公式即可:odds for “exceed”=p/(1-p)=0.167/(1-0.167)≈1 to 5.
这个odds是什么计算,基础课里没有讲这个。