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lcrcp3 · 2023年09月28日

如题

NO.PZ2023032701000081

问题如下:

Smirnoff makes the following three statements regarding different relative valuation approaches:

In assessing BTP's trailing P/E, be sure to adjust for its countercyclical property called the "Molodovsky effect."

The P/E-to-growth (PEG) measure is better than P/E because it correctly accounts for differences in risk and the duration of growth between BTP and its peers.

Note that BTP's return on equity (ROE) is much higher than its peers. Therefore, on the basis of justified P/B, BTP will appear overvalued relative to its peers with the same P/B.

Which of the three statements regarding relative valuation approaches that Smirnoff has stated is most accurate? Her statement concerning the:

选项:

A.

PEG measure

B.

P/E

C.

justified P/B

解释:

BTP is a cyclical company. Empirically, P/Es for cyclical companies are often highly volatile over a cycle even without any change in business prospects. High P/Es on depressed earnings per share (EPS) at the bottom of the cycle and low P/Es on unusually high EPS at the top of the cycle reflect the countercyclical property of P/Es known as the Molodovsky effect.

“justified P/B对应的是value而不是price,所以ROE越大,value就越大”,根据v0=B0+ROE-re/re-g*B0的公式可以得出这个结论。“那么同样的P/B下BTP公司value更高,说明越被低估而不是高估”怎么得出的这个结论?P/B=ROE-g/re-g,同样的P/B,那不就是同样的ROE-g/re-g,目标公司ROE更大,只能说明它的re也更大,怎么和value挂上钩的?这里又有被低估和高估什么事?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年09月28日

同学你好,你要分清楚题目说的是P/B(对应的是Price)还是justified P/B(对应Value)

第三个说法,翻译一下就是:BTP公司的ROE是高于行业内的其他公司的。现在行业其他公司的P/B(price)和BTP公司的P/B(price )的值是一样的——结论认为,由于BTP的justified P/B(value)是高于行业其他公司的(因为ROE高于同类公司),所以BTP是高估的。

这样翻译就可以看出了,就是两个价格相同的公司,BTP的value更高,结论说BTP被高估——这肯定是错的

value高,价格应该更高才合理,现在价格却和其他公司一样,说明BTP公司被低估了

第三个说法是错误的

lcrcp3 · 2023年09月28日

您答的非常清晰,其实重点就是P/B(对应的是Price),justified P/B(对应Value)这句话,知道这句话其他什么都不用说就能明白了,而上课并没有直接获取到这个关键点,这也是我昨天有些着急的原因。

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年09月28日

没问题就好!同学加油!