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PASS · 2023年09月16日

老師,能否幫忙解釋一下這句話?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202110140100000404

问题如下:

Simulation Approach 1 (historical simulation) differs from Approach 2 (Monte Carlo simulation) in that:

选项:

A.it is deterministic.

B.a functional form of the statistical distribution for each decision variable needs to be specified.

C.it assumes that sampling the returns from the actual data provides sufficient guidance about future asset returns.

解释:

C is correct.

Approach 1 is a historical simulation and assumes that past asset returns provide sufficient guidance about future asset returns. A is incorrect because both approaches are non-deterministic and random in nature. Approach 1 is a historical simulation, and Approach 2 is a Monte Carlo simulation.

B is incorrect because Approach 1 is a historical simulation and each random variable of interest (key driver and/or decision variable) is randomly drawn from historical data. A functional form of the statistical distribution of returns for each decision variable needs to be specified for a Monte Carlo simulation, which is Approach 2.

A functional form of the statistical distribution of returns for each decision variable need to be specified for a Monte Carlo simulation.


從英語翻譯上跟對Monte Carlo的理解上,都沒看得太懂這句話表達的意思….

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年09月18日

同学你好,

这句话意为:做蒙特卡洛模拟时,对于其中涉及的每个变量,都需要设定这个变量的分布(例如设定该变量服从正态分布)。