NO.PZ2018091701000059
问题如下:
What is the most likely yield curve change of short-term government bond and long-term government bond during the bad times?
选项:
A.
The slope of the yield curve will invert.
B.
The slope of the yield curve will flatten
C.
The slope of the yield curve will steepen.
解释:
C is correct.
考点:yield curve and business cycle
解析:
经济不景气的时候,yield curve会变得更加陡峭(steepen)。这是央行扩张的货币政策带来的影响。央行施行扩张的货币政策,主要影响的是短期,短期利率会降低,长期利率影响不大,所以yield curve会变得陡峭,向上倾斜的收益率曲线也预示着未来经济将会好转。
经济不好的时候,大家都更愿意买国债,所以国债短期价格上升,利率下降,这样理解对吗?