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西红柿面 · 2023年09月09日

C选项的问题

NO.PZ2018053101000040

问题如下:

Which of the following statements is true regarding mortgage-backed securities?

选项:

A.Insurance companies prefer the first-loss tranche. B.When interest rates rise, prepayments will likely accelerate. C.When interest rates fall, the low-risk senior tranche will amortize more quickly.

解释:

C is correct. When interest rates decline, borrowers are likely to refinance their loans at a faster pace than before, resulting in faster amortization of each MBS tranche, including the senior tranche, which is the lowest-risk tranche.

A is incorrect because risk-averse investors, primarily insurance companies, prefer the lowest-risk tranches, which are the first to receive interest and principal. The junior-most tranche is referred to as the first-loss tranche. It is the highest-risk tranche and is the last to receive interest and principal distributions.

B is incorrect because when interest rates rise, prepayments will likely slow down, lengthening the duration of most MBS tranches. Prepayments will likely increase when interest rates decline, because borrowers are likely to refinance their loans at a faster pace.

感觉C选项很不严谨啊,prepayment risk和Credit risk不能混淆呀,C选项这个等于把两个东西混在一起了

2 个答案

pzqa35 · 2023年09月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


CMBS主要是个人住房贷款,所以主要会受到底层的每个人的行为的影响,在利率下行的时候,大家就是比较倾向于提前还款。就比如我们在银行按揭贷款,提前还款一般都是会有罚息,或者银行也会有各种各样的条件,但是当利率降到足够低的时候,仍然有大批的提前还贷出现,就像去年底到今年初这段时间,因为存量房贷高达6%左右的利率,但是现在市场上大都是4%左右,所以即使有罚息等各种条件来阻止,但是仍然会有大量的提前还款出现,对应到CMBS就是prepayment risk啦。

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pzqa35 · 2023年09月10日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


此题中C选项是说,当利率下降时,会使得借款者有更多的动力去借新还旧,从而导致原本的MBS会加速amortization。同时原版书447页也有同样的表达:

这是指prepayment的risk,和credit risk是不同的,credit risk一般是指不能按时按数偿还贷款的风险。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

西红柿面 · 2023年09月11日

我明白老师的意思,但是我记得何老师在固定收益里面讲过,Credit risk和Prepayment risk不会同时考虑,一般只会考一种risk,就也是为啥我们默认ABS是没有credit risk的,只考虑prepayment risk;而CMBS是没有prepayment risk(因为类似公司债设置了很多提前还款的条款和处罚方式),只考虑credit risk就行。这道题既然提到了senior tranche,那就是对应的credit risk,但为啥又说prepayment的事情呢

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