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little yao · 2023年09月01日

这题是什么知识点?

NO.PZ2023012803000026

问题如下:

Amelia Montgomery, Philly’s analyst responsible for covering the consumer discretionary sector, attended an investor briefing with the management team for Cole & Garn. Philly’s investment committee is particularly interest in Cole & Garn since the stock is held in many of the portfolios they manage.

Montgomery informs the committee that company management provided a favorable summary of the previous year and offered ambitious guidance for future earnings. She reminds the group that management is susceptible to behavioral biases and that they tend to be overconfident with an inclination to overestimate the likelihood of favorable outcomes. She felt that the best way to deal with management biases was to maintain a disciplined and systematic research approach.

Remembering her days as a junior analyst, Yang cautioned that discounting management’s comments and guidance could be problematic and detrimental to performance.

Who is most likely correct concerning how to deal with the ambitious earnings guidance and the behavioral biases of Cole & Gam’s management team?

选项:

A.

Yang

B.

Montgomery

C.

Neither Montgomery nor Yang

解释:

Montgomery is correct. The best way to deal with Cole & Gam’s cognitive biases regarding the interpretation of information is by maintaining a disciplined and systematic approach. Focusing on metrics and comparable data rather than what is descriptive or unverifiable, can assist forecast accuracy and consistency of approach across research.

这是什么知识点,没理解

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年09月04日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1

同学好,这道题的题目来源是 MOCK-2017-PM-10

考查的知识点是「行为金融和分析师预测」中的第二点:对公司管理层分析的影响 "Influence of Company’s Management on Analysis"

2

这道题我之前刚好详细总结过,请同学先参考一下:https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/105489

如果还有疑问,同学可以追问或者评论,我再回答同学的后续疑问哈

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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