NO.PZ202207040100000502
问题如下:
Evidence of which behavioral bias is most likely to be found when analyzing the Lunnar C fund?
选项:
A.Survivorship
B.Look-ahead
C.Confirmation
解释:
SolutionC is correct. Confirmation bias, a cognitive error sometimes referred to as “stock love bias,” is the tendency of fundamental-based analysts and investors to look for information that confirms their existing beliefs about their favorite companies and to ignore or undervalue any information that contradicts their existing beliefs. Both look-ahead bias and survivorship bias are risks inherent in backtesting quantitative active strategies.
A is incorrect. Survivorship bias is a risk inherent in backtesting a quantitative active strategy. This approach creates a bias whereby only companies that have survived are tested and it is assumed that the strategy would never have invested in companies that have failed. Survivorship bias often leads to overly optimistic results and sometimes even causes investors to draw wrong conclusions.
B is incorrect. Look-ahead bias is a risk inherent in backtesting a quantitative active strategy. This bias results from using information that was unknown or unavailable at the time an investment decision was made. An example of this bias is the use of financial accounting data for a company at a point in time before the data were actually released by the company.
根据表1显示,lunnar c会着重near term的表现且下文又说会看well known的,那么就容易产生survivor ship的问题吧?
题干也无法定位到哪里说是confirmation bias的,没看到哪里说只看对自己有利的信息或相关内容,麻烦帮手指点迷津下,谢谢