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Feeling · 2023年08月28日

原版书上很明确把value trap归在pitfall in fundamental investing

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201809170400000403

问题如下:

James Leonard is a fund-of-funds manager with Future Generation, a large sovereign fund. He is considering whether to pursue more in-depth due diligence processes with three large-cap long-only funds proposed by his analysts. Although the funds emphasize different financial metrics and use different implementation methodologies, they operate in the same market segment and are evaluated against the same benchmark. The analysts prepared a short description of each fund, presented in Exhibit 1.

When Leonard’s analysts met with Asgard, they inquired whether its managers engage in activist investing because Asgard’s portfolio frequently holds significant positions, because of their large asset size, and because of their emphasis on strong governance and their ability to model sources of cash-flow strengths and weaknesses within each business. The manager indicated that Asgard engages with companies from a long-term shareholder’s perspective, which is consistent with the firm’s low portfolio turnover, and uses its voice, and its vote, on matters that can influence companies’ long-term value.

Leonard wants to confirm that each manager’s portfolios are consistent with its declared style. To this end, Exhibit 2 presents key financial information associated with each manager’s portfolio and also with the index that all three managers use.


Which manager is most likely to get caught in a value trap?

选项:

A.

Furlings

B.

Asgard

C.

Tokra

解释:

C is the correct answer. A value trap occurs when a stock that appears to have an attractive valuation because of a low P/E and/or P/B multiple (or other relevant value proxies) appears cheap only because of its worsening growth prospects. Although a pitfall such as value trap is more common in fundamental investing, a quantitative process that relies on historical information and does not integrate future expectations about cash flows or profitability may be unable to detect a value trap.

A is an incorrect answer. Although Furlings is a top-down manager, its sector portfolios are built through investing in a small number of high-conviction securities after its analysts have dissected the financial statements and analyzed the competitive landscape and growth prospects. Managers at Furlings are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

B is an incorrect answer. One of Asgard’s investment criteria is identifying firms that have good potential cash flow growth over the next three years. The firm has access to database and support tools, allowing its analysts to evaluate many potential growth metrics. Managers at Asgard are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

我看了其他答案,能够理解只看ratio确实容易出现value trap的问题。但是原版书上很明确把value trap归在pitfall in fundamental investing,且pitfall in quantitative investing完全没有提及value trap,请问本题为什么将value trap归为quantitative的pitfall?

2 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年08月29日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这也是一道原版书题目。

原版书正文把它放在fundmental investing。原版书习题把它放在quantitative。说明原版书在这里做了知识点补充。既可以属于fundamental,也可以属于quantitative。


C is the correct answer. A value trap occurs when a stock that appears to have an attractive valuation because of a low P/E and/or P/B multiple (or other relevant value proxies) appears cheap only because of its worsening growth prospects. Although a pitfall such as value trap is more common in fundamental investing, a quantitative process that relies on historical information and does not integrate future expectations about cash flows or profitability may be unable to detect a value trap.



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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

mino酱是个小破货 · 2023年09月20日

我其实是看表解答的题,虽然P/B、P/E低看似有机会,但是它EPS最低,不如行业,说明T这家公司是真的不太好,陷入value trap

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