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台风来了 · 2023年08月14日

本题风险敞口的计算

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NO.PZ202304070100009101

问题如下:

The fair value of bond B2 is closest to:

选项:

A.

€1,069.34.

B.

€1,111.51.

C.

€1,153.68.

解释:

Correct Answer: A

The following table shows that the CVA for the bond is €42.17, the sum of the present values of expected loss. The steps taken to complete the table are as follows.


Value of the bond if the bond were default free would be:

€60 × DF1 + €60 × DF2 + €60 × DF3 +€1,060 × DF4 = €1,111.51.

Fair value of the bond considering CVA = €1,111.51 – €42.17 = €1,069.34

老师,您好!如下两个问题:

1.本题的风险敞口是怎么计算得到的呢?

2.没有违约的情况下,债券的价格是1111.51。如果发生违约,那收到的现金流折现后只会小于1111.51,且1111.51已经是考虑了全部的现金流折现计算的,那什么情况下风险敞口还能大于这个价格呢?

麻烦老师讲解一下,谢谢!

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2023年08月14日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


exposure就是每个节点上面临的风险敞口,也就是可能损失的钱。每一年的Exposure包括两部分:当年的Coupon,和以后现金流的折现值。之前有老师讲解过exposure的具体计算方法,同学可以参考https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/101968。

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NO.PZ202304070100009101 问题如下 The fair value of bonis closest to: A.€1,069.34. B.€1,111.51. C.€1,153.68. CorreAnswer: AThe following table shows ththe CVA for the bonis €42.17, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows.Value of the bonf the bonwere fault free woulbe: €60 × 1 + €60 × 2 + €60 ×3 +€1,060 × 4 = €1,111.51.Fair value of thebonconsiring CVA = €1,111.51 – €42.17 = €1,069.34 可以写下exposure 3 probability 怎么算吗?980.75 -- 12.5%1005.54 -- 25% 为什么是37.5%?1022.86 -- 25% 为什么是37.5%?1034.81 --12.5%

2023-10-03 11:29 1 · 回答

NO.PZ202304070100009101 问题如下 The fair value of bonis closest to: A.€1,069.34. B.€1,111.51. C.€1,153.68. CorreAnswer: AThe following table shows ththe CVA for the bonis €42.17, the sum of the present values of expecteloss. The steps taken to complete the table are follows.Value of the bonf the bonwere fault free woulbe: €60 × 1 + €60 × 2 + €60 ×3 +€1,060 × 4 = €1,111.51.Fair value of thebonconsiring CVA = €1,111.51 – €42.17 = €1,069.34 老师,您好!解析中已经算出了没有违约的情况下,债券的价格就是1111.51。那么在计算CVA的过程中,每年的风险敞口是怎么得来的呢?风险敞口应该就是未来现金流折现到假设的违约发生时的价值,不可能超过VN1111.51)才对啊。麻烦老师补充一下,谢谢!

2023-08-14 00:28 1 · 回答