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上小学 · 2023年08月01日

请问第四个选项是什么意思?谢谢

NO.PZ2020033003000019

问题如下:

The following statements are about Merton model. Which one is correct?

选项:

A.

Merton model can be applied to value the firm with a variety of debts with different coupon rates and time-to-maturity.

B.

The Merton model assumes that firm value is lognormally distributed with a constant volatility.

C.The firm value is allowed to jump from one value to another in the Merton model.

D.

For high leverage firms, the Merton model predicts higher default probabilities and lower recovery rates, which is consistent with the reality.

解释:

B is correct.

考点:Assumptions and Drawbacks of Merton Model

解析:选项A。Metron model 假设的是简单的资本结构。The firm has only one debt which is a zero- coupon bond with a face value of F and maturity of T.

选项B 正确。

选项C The firm value is not allowed to jump from one value to another in the Merton model.

选项D For high leverage firms, the Merton model predicts low default probabilities and high recovery rates,和现实正好相反。

第四个选项在说什么?是如何推导出来的?高杠杆的公司,意味着债务远远高于EQUITY,那么如何得出结论呢?

1 个答案

DD仔_品职助教 · 2023年08月01日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


D说的是莫顿模型的缺点之一,主要原因是杠杆高代表借债多,通过公式计算出的PD,忽略了因为杠杆太高,会增加公司的finance distress也就是破产的可能性所带来的PD,所以模型会低估高杠杆公司的PD。

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