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豆好 · 2023年07月31日

credit premium

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NO.PZ202105270100000406

问题如下:

Using the building block approach, the required rate of return for the ZMC bond will most likely:

选项:

A.increase based on the change in the credit premium.

B.decrease based on the change in the default-free rate.

C.decrease based on the change in the liquidity premium.

解释:

A is correct.

The credit premium is the additional expected return demanded for bearing the risk of default losses. A credit downgrade two steps lower will increase the credit premium and the required rate of return. The change in the default-free rate associated with the monetary tightening will increase (not decrease) the required rate of return. The widening of the spread between the sovereign bond and the next highest-quality government agency security indicates an increase in the liquidity premium, which will increase (not decrease) the required rate of return.

B is incorrect because the required rate of return would increase (not decrease) based on the change in the default-free rate associated with the monetary tightening.

C is incorrect because the rate of return would increase (not decrease) based on a change in the liquidity premium. The liquidity premium can be estimated from the yield spread between the highest-quality issuer (typically a sovereign bond) and the next highest-quality large issuer of similar bonds (often a government agency). A widening yield spread indicates an increase in the liquidity premium and required rate of return.

信用溢价是承担违约损失风险所要求的额外预期收益。信用评级再下调两级,将增加信用溢价和所需的回报率。与货币紧缩相关的无违约利率的变化将增加(而不是减少)所需的回报率。主权债券与第二高质量政府机构证券之间的息差不断扩大,表明流动性溢价上升,这将提高(而非降低)所需的回报率。

B是错误的,因为要求的回报率将增加(而不是减少)基于与货币紧缩相关的无违约利率的变化。

C是错误的,因为收益率会根据流动性溢价的变化而增加(而不是减少)。流动性溢价可以通过最优质的发行人(通常是主权债券)与次之的同类债券大型发行人(通常是政府机构)之间的收益率差来估计。利差的扩大表明流动性溢价和要求收益率的增加。

老师基础班的讲法,我还是不理解,一会说经济情况变好,expected R变高,credit premium 变大, 这里又是经济变成,我credit premium 变低。 能不能再给一个明确的讲解。

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年08月01日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学~

可以讲一讲哈。这里,同学要先理解下credit premium是如何来的,它的原理。


举例来说,美国国债的利率是5%,则美国公司债的利率是8%。公司债因为有信用风险,比国债多3%利率,这就是credit spread。

这个credit spread又分为两个部分。

一是覆盖违约损失的部分。比如美国公司债,会有2%的债权违约,一旦违约,只能拿回一半本金。那么违约损失就是1%。

二是投资者承担了违约风险,有了波动,就要有收益补偿。这个收益补偿,就是credit premium。因此credit premium是2%。


如果投资者实际持有美国债券,最后收益是多少呢?

事前看,credit spead 是3%。

真正持有后,赚利息8%,违约损失1%,实际赚7%,相比国债的5%,多赚2%,这个2%就是credit premium,因此老师说credit premium是事后收益。


既然credit premium是风险溢价,那么经济越差,风险溢价自然也就越高。


----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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