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Amy · 2023年07月27日

请问这道题答案不是C嘛?为什么是A?

NO.PZ2020033001000033

问题如下:

In May of 2005, General Motors and Ford was downgraded to junk status, the following situation led to huge losses for multiple hedge funds. Which of the following positions are most likely to be held by these funds and ultimately lead to their losses?

选项:

A.

Long the equity tranche of the CDO and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

B.

Long the equity tranche of the CDO and short the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

C.

Short the equity tranche of the CDO and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO decreased.

D.

Short the equity tranche of the CDO and long the mezzanine tranche of the CDO, when the correlations of the assets in the CDO increased.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:2005年的correlation-related crisis

解析:降级为垃圾级通常会导致债券价格急剧下跌,因为许多共同基金和养老基金不允许持有垃圾债券,CDO中引用投资级债券的债券的相关性下降,因为不同信用质量的债券的相关性通常较低,相关性下降导致对冲基金蒙受巨大损失,因为他们的策略是long equity的CDO的同时short mezzanine的CDO,相关性下降时这策略两端都受损。

解析里面说用的策略是long equity 和short ME和老师上课讲的是反的。

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已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2023年07月27日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


题干说的“the following situation led to huge losses”,意思是下列的哪种情况会导致这些对冲基金遭遇大幅亏损?

以新版的基础班讲义P96为准:

对冲基金在经济正常的情况下采取的做法是long equity然后Short ME,但是在金融危机爆发的时候,correlation下降了,equity部分的暴跌导致亏损,而ME部分也没有带来收益,最终导致hedge fund亏钱。

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我的世界守则 · 2023年08月11日

老师,这道题我非常迷惑。基础班课里讲的是CDS on equity tranche and mezzanine tranche,这里讲的是直接买equity tranche and mezzanine tranche。到底这里有没有CDS的事啊?原版书里没有提CDS啊?原版书里提的spread是指用来折现的加在基础利率上的credit spread而不是CDS spread吧?为什么李老师在讲2005年这个crisis的时候一直在讲CDS spread呢?

李坏_品职助教 · 2023年08月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


你说的有道理,原版书关于这一段的叙述和讲义是一致的,没有提到CDS:

背景是2005年的时候,通用汽车与福特汽车等蓝筹公司信用评级下降,导致CDO底层的债券之间的相关性降低了。划红线部分说的是对冲基金一开始都是在做多CDO里面的equity部分,同时做空了CDO里面的mezzaine部分,由于相关性下降,equity跌,mezzaine反而涨,所以两头亏钱。


这里的spread按照原版书的说法是指的不同的CDO tranche的credit spread。


不过需要注意的是在金融危机期间,美国也出现了用CDS来合成CDO的“合成型CDO”,这种情况下合成型CDO的不同tranche的credit spread就和CDS spread有一定联系了。



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