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Sofia nice · 2023年07月26日

equity

NO.PZ2021052601000015

问题如下:

Which of the following is most likely to increase after an increase in aggregate real personal income?

选项:

A.Equity prices B.Building permits for new private housing units C.The ratio of consumer installment debt to income

解释:

C is correct. Aggregate real personal income is a coincident indicator of the business cycle, and the ratio of consumer installment debt to income is a lagging indicator. Increases in the ratio of consumer installment debt follow increases in average aggregate income during the typical business cycle.

个人实际收入总额是景气周期的同步指标,而消费者分期付款债务与收入的比率则是滞后性指标。在典型的商业周期中,消费者分期付款债务比率的增加伴随着平均总收入的增加。


虽然股票市场是前瞻性的,但是之前只是预期增长,个人收入增多之后,散户进入股市,不是又能推高价格吗?

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笛子_品职助教 · 2023年07月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


虽然股票市场是前瞻性的,但是之前只是预期增长,个人收入增多之后,散户进入股市,不是又能推高价格吗?

个人收入增多后,并不一定会进入股市,进不进入股市,还是看预期。

如果个人收入增多,股市预期好,会进入股市,推高价格。

如果个人收入增多,股市预期不好,资金就不会进入股市,另可存银行,增加储蓄。

总之,个人收入增加,与股市价格上涨,并没有必然的关系。


同学注意,本题的重点是经济各个指标的领先和滞后。收入是经济的同步指标,收入增加后能增加什么,题目要求我们选一个经济的滞后指标。而equity Pirce是领先指标,因此不选。

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