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Alex · 2023年07月20日

请问anchoring和availability区别是什么呢?

NO.PZ2022122601000046

问题如下:

Board member Harold Melson notes he recently read an article on psychological traps related to making accurate and unbiased forecasts. He asks O’Reilly to inform the board about the anchoring trap and the confirming evidence trap. O’Reilly offers the following explanation:

The anchoring trap is the tendency for forecasts to be overly influenced by the memory of catastrophic or dramatic past events that are anchored in a person’s memory. The confirming evidence trap is the bias that leads individuals to give greater weight to information that supports a preferred viewpoint than to evidence that contradicts it.”

Is O’Reilly’s explanation of the anchoring trap most likely correct? (2018 mock PM)

选项:

A.No, because the anchoring trap is the tendency for the mind to give a disproportionate weight to the first information it receives on a topic B. Yes. C.No, because the anchoring trap is the tendency to temper forecasts so that they do not appear extreme

解释:

Correct Answer: A

A is correct. O’Reilly’s explanation of the anchoring trap is incorrect. The anchoring trap is the tendency of the mind to give disproportionate weight to the first information it receives on a topic. Initial impressions, estimates, or data anchor subsequent thoughts and judgments.

B is incorrect. O’Reilly’s statement regarding the anchoring trap is incorrect. This is a description of the recallability trap.

C is incorrect. Although O’Reilly’s statement regarding the anchoring trap is incorrect, this is a description of the prudence trap.

中文解析:

A正确。奥莱利对锚定陷阱的解释是不正确的。锚定陷阱是指大脑倾向于给它收到的关于某个话题的第一个信息不成比例的权重。最初的印象、估计或数据决定了随后的想法和判断。

B不正确。奥莱利关于锚定陷阱的说法是不正确的。这是对可回忆性陷阱的描述。

C选项不正确。虽然奥莱利关于锚定陷阱的陈述是不正确的,但这是对谨慎陷阱的描述。

A选项的描述似乎和availability bias非常近似

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年07月20日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


A选项的描述似乎和availability bias非常近似


是的。这个Mock题还是老考纲。

现在考试的时候,区分anchoring和availability,最明显的依据,是有无具体数据

比如锚定在一个成本价上。成本价是个具体的数字。

如果依据最新的考纲,这道题用availability会更好。



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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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