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louie🐳 · 2023年07月15日

%Cap Rate

NO.PZ2020012102000008

问题如下:

An analyst at a real estate investment management firm seeks to establish expectations for rate of return for properties in the industrial sector over the next year. She has obtained the following information:

Estimate the expected return from the industrial sector properties based on the data provided.

选项:

解释:

The expected change in the cap rate from 5.7% to 5.5% represents a (5.5% – 5.7%)/5.7% = 3.5% decrease.
Using the expression E(Rre) = CapRate + NOI growth rate – %ΔCapRate = 5.7% + (1% + 1.5%) – (–3.5%) = 11.7%.
Note: As the cap rate is expected to decrease, property values are expected to increase, hence the cap rate change contributes to the expected return.

解析:

上限率从5.7%到5.5%的预期变化为(5.5% -5.7%)/5.7% = 3.5%。

使用表达式E(Rre) = CapRate + NOI growth rate – %ΔCapRate = 5.7%+ (1% + 1.5%) – (–3.5%) = 11.7%.

注意到,由于 cap rate预期会下降,物业价值预期会上升,因此上限税率的改变对预期回报有贡献。

As the cap rate is expected to decrease, property values are expected to increase, hence the cap rate change contributes to the expected return.

为何放公式里 是 - (Expected Cap Rate - Current Cap Rate)/Current Cap Rate

Expected Cap Rate不是Target Rate 拽到预期上吗?为何还要减预期

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年07月16日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Expected Cap Rate不是Target Rate 拽到预期上吗?为何还要减预期


这里计算的是%Cap Rate,cap rate 变动率。

现在是Current Cap Rate,未来是Expected Cap Rate,变动率是(Expected Cap Rate - Current Cap Rate)/Current Cap Rate


Cap Rate变大,则预期收益变小。

Cap Rate变小,则预期收益变大。


因此是减号。



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