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摇一摇 · 2023年07月05日

请老师解惑

NO.PZ2016010802000157

问题如下:

A country that maintains a target exchange rate is most likely to have which outcome when its inflation rate rises above the level of the inflation rate in the target country?

选项:

A.

An increase in short-term interest rates.

B.

An increase in the domestic money supply.

C.

An increase in its foreign currency reserves.

解释:

A is correct.

Interest rates are expected to rise to protect the exchange rate target.

本国通胀上涨超过了目标国会导致本国的汇率上升。通胀上升会导致本国货币贬值,为了保证本国货币不贬值,必须实施一个紧缩的货币政策。

A选项提高短期利率入选。

B选项增加货币供给是一个扩张的货币政策,利率下降,不入选。

C选项增加外汇储备和本题无关。不入选。

为什么本国通胀上涨超过了目标国会导致本国的汇率上升?

又为什么通胀上升会导致本国货币贬值?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年07月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


为什么本国通胀上涨超过了目标国会导致本国的汇率上升?又为什么通胀上升会导致本国货币贬值?

Hello,亲爱的同学~


通胀是一种risk premium,通胀高了,risk premium就会变高,则本国与它国之间的risk premium差距(体现在公式里的risk premiumB - risk premiumA)会变大。根据以下公式,货币会贬值。


提高利率会促使本币升值。这个国家采取的是target exchange rate,为了避免因为通胀过高引起的货币贬值,需要提高利率让货币升值。高通胀引起的货币贬值和提高利率引起的货币升值,相互抵消,从而保持target exchange rate

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

marinecat · 2023年08月09日

请问这个公式是在哪里有啊,没找到

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