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410140980 · 2023年07月02日

CIR

NO.PZ2022071105000004

问题如下:

A CRO of a hedge fund is asking the risk team to develop a term-structure model that is appropriate for fitting

interest rates for use in the fund’s options pricing practice. The risk team is evaluating several interest rate

models that incorporate either time-dependent drift or time-dependent volatility functions. Which of the

following is a correct description of the specified model?

选项:

A.

In the Ho-Lee model, the drift of the interest rate process is assumed to be constant.

B.

In the Ho-Lee model, when the short-term rate is above its long-run equilibrium value, the drift is assumed

to be negative.

C.

In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, the basis-point volatility of the short-term rate is assumed to be

proportional to the square root of the rate, and short-term rates cannot be negative.

D.

In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, the volatility of the short-term rate is assumed to decline exponentially to

a constant long-run level.

解释:

中文解析:

C是正确的。在CIR模型中,短期利率的基点波动率并不是想起他模型一样,独立于短期利率。年化的基点波动率等于𝜎*sqrt(r)。CIR模型中的短期利率不能是负值,因为(i)短期利率为0时,基点波动率等于零,(ii)当短期率为0时,漂移项是正的。

A是不正确的。在Ho-Lee模型中,利率的漂移是随时间变化。

B是不正确的。在Ho-Lee模型中没有定义长期均衡值。

D不正确。在CIR模型中,短期利率的波动率与短期利率的平方根成比例。

C is correct. In the CIR model, the basis-point volatility of the short rate is not

independent of the short rate as other simpler models assume. The annualized basis-

point volatility equals 𝜎*sqrt(r). Short-term rate in the CIR model cannot be negative

because of the combined property that (i) basis-point volatility equals zero when short-

term rate is zero, and (ii) the drift is positive when the short-term rate is zero.

A is incorrect. In the Ho-Lee model, the drift of the interest rate process is presumed to be

time-varying.

B is incorrect. No long-run equilibrium value is defined in the Ho-Lee model.

D is incorrect. The volatility of the short-term rate is assumed to be proportional to the

square root of the short-rate in the CIR model.

老师对于CIR model有个困惑麻烦老师指导一下

dr=K(θ-r)dt +σ r^0.5 dw

其中第一点,r不能为负,因为开方的数字不能是负数,但是如果r很大的话,前一项就可能为负数了啊


1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职答疑小助手雍 · 2023年07月04日

同学你好,不能只考虑单个公式不考虑整个过程的产生啊。

CIR前面是一个均值复归项,后面是一个带根号r的波动项。它这个式子是每一个dt时间里,利率r的变化量。

r是会变动,但是因为有均值复归项,所以当r变大的时候dr整个整体就会是个负数,但是此时r很大,就算变小一点也不会变成负数的。

r变小的时候均值复归项会是个正数,而波动项因为此时根号r很小所以波动项整体就会比较小,那么dr这个整体就会是个正数,r就会增大了。

这个基础班课里是讲过原理和逻辑的。

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