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米妮涵 · 2023年06月30日

C为什么不对

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NO.PZ202112010200000702

问题如下:

Which of the following statements best characterizes how the active portfolio is positioned for yield curve changes relative to the index portfolio?

选项:

A.

The active portfolio is positioned to benefit from a bear steepening of the yield curve versus the benchmark portfolio.

B.

The active portfolio is positioned to benefit from a positive butterfly movement in the shape of the yield curve versus the index.

C.

The active portfolio is positioned to benefit from yield curve flattening versus the index.

解释:

B is correct. A positive butterfly indicates a decrease in the butterfly spread due to an expected rise in short- and long-term yields-to-maturity combined with a lower medium-term yield-to-maturity.

Since the active portfolio is short duration versus the index in the 2-year, 5-year, and 30-year maturities and long duration in the 10-year, it will generate excess return if the butterfly spread falls.

麻烦老师解答一下

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2023年07月01日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


题目问的意思是,什么情况下,会有表格中的active 与index 两个portfolio,也就是说哪种曲线预期下,当前状态的active 会获利最大。

解题的关键是比较不同期限active 与index的KRD

如果某个期限的active KRD>index KRD,说明预测这个期限的利率是下降的;

如果某个期限的active KRD<index KRD,说明预测这个期限的利率是上涨的。

题目中active KRD<index KRD的期限有:2y,5y,30y;active KRD>index KRD的期限有:10y,

也就意味着,预测长期和短期利率是上涨的,中期利率是下降的,这种曲线形状的变化,就是positive butterfly,所以选择B 。

如果预期yield curve flatten,应该让active portfolio长期限的KRD大于benchmark,而不是现在的30年期KRD小于benchmark 30年期的KRD。


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