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让我爱你 · 2023年06月29日

C选项为何对?

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NO.PZ202206070100000301

问题如下:

Of Kumar’s three points regarding interest rate linkages among countries proposed for the new fund, she is least likely correct with respect to bond yields in:

选项:

A.Singapore and Sweden.

B.Denmark.

C.Chile.

解释:

Solution

B is correct. Kumar’s second point regarding Danish bonds is incorrect. When two currencies are pegged or linked, the bond yields of the country with the weaker currency are likely to rise higher unless the market is confident that the government will maintain the peg.

C is incorrect. Kumar’s first point regarding Chilean bonds is a true statement. If a country’s exchange rate is severely undervalued and is expected to rise substantially against another country’s, then bond yields in the first country will be lower than they would otherwise be in relation to the other country. Since Chile’s exchange rate relative to Great Britain’s is undervalued, we would expect the Chilean bond yields to be lower than they should be as compared to the yields on the British bonds.

A is incorrect. Kumar’s third point with respect to Singapore and Sweden is a true statement. Although real yields can vary, they can and do tend to move together.

题目考察的是利率与汇率的关联。Kumar关于丹麦债券的第二点论述是错误的。当两种货币挂钩或联系时,货币较弱的国家的债券收益率可能会上升,除非市场坚信政府将维持汇率盯住制度。

C是错误的。因为Kumar关于智利债券的第一点是对的。如果一个国家的汇率被严重低估,并且预计其相对于另一个国家的汇率将大幅上升,那么前者的债券收益率目前是比较低的。由于智利相对于英国的汇率被低估,我们预计智利的当前债券收益率低于其相对于英国债券收益率的应有水平(言外之意,应该更高才对)。

A是错误的。因为Kumar关于新加坡和瑞典的第三点论述是正确的。尽管实际收益率可能有所不同,但它们可以倾向于共同波动。

Chile货币被低估了,所以目前chile bond提供的收益率应该高啊,为何是lower呢?

2 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年12月28日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这里英镑是锚,是参照物。它不是应当贬值,它就是基准,是CHILE货币被被低估,应当升值。 升值就应该需要更高的收益率(注意,这里不是当做折现率来看,就是收益率,原版书的角度是,收益率高,会吸引外资流入)

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

源_品职助教 · 2023年06月30日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


CHILE货币被低估,并且未来有升值预期,那就说明在理论上,CHILE的收益率是应该高于英国的,比如高出了4%。

但是现在CHILE有预期涨,但还没涨。这就说明实际上,CHILE的收益率还没有到达上述利率的收益高出的范围4%,比如目前只有3%

所以文中说的,Chilean bond yields may be lower than they should be relative to British bonds.就是这个意思。

现在是3%,低于应有的4%

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

菜頭 · 2023年12月28日

CHILE货币被低估,并且未来有升值预期,那么英镑相对要贬值,在贬值的国家,不是应该要求有更高的收益率吗,这样的话英国的收益率更高,为什么CHILE的收益率是应该高于英国呢?

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