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Lich · 2023年06月21日

没太懂这个题的意思

NO.PZ2022122801000051

问题如下:

Several years later, Channel’s pension plan has grown to over EUR 5 billion in assets. During that time period, the fund’s allocation to illiquid assets (which includes direct real estate, private equity and infrastructure) increased to 30%.

Channel maintains its leading position in the insurance industry and its balance sheet remains healthy. However, given heightened competition and increasingly soft pricing conditions, Channel staff members are researching possible cost saving strategies for management consideration. While viewed as an unlikely choice by Mukasa, reducing Channel’s cash contributions to its pension plan is among them. The plan is currently 90% funded.

Pai reviews key benefits and constraints of large institutional investors in asset allocation that may be relevant to Channel’s pension plan. He makes the following statements.

Statement 1: A substantial allocation to illiquid assets may be inappropriate for Channel’s pension plan if there is a significant probability of Channel lowering its contributions to the plan.

Statement 2: Large institutional investors, such as Channel’s pension plan, will likely benefit from deploying active equity strategies, due to manager access, liquidity and trading cost advantages.

Statement 3: Channel’s pension fund may rebalance portfolio weights from the strategic allocation in order to exploit perceived opportunities based on its latest five-year capital market expectations.

Which of Pai’s statements is most appropriate for the pension plan, given Channel’s current market circumstances?

选项:

A.

Statement 1.

B.

tatement 2.

C.

Statement 3.

解释:

The change to the expected cash contributions to the pension fund, if adopted, would materially affect the fund’s asset allocation strategy. The odds of that happening, however, appear low at present according to Mukasa. At this point, this indicates a need for the pension plan to increase sensitivity to liquidity concerns, but is not necessarily cause for immediate revisions to the current allocation.

Large institutional investors, including Channel’s pension plan, may benefit from operational efficiencies and other competitive advantages (such as scale, expertise and resources). However, scale may also impose obstacles related to the liquidity conditions and trading costs of the underlying assets. A very large size might make it difficult to deploy capital effectively in certain active equity strategies—for example, to benefit from opportunistic investments in niche markets or from skilled investment managers who have a small set of unique ideas or concentrated bets. Therefore, Statement 2 is not necessarily correct.

Statement 3 is mixing portfolio rebalancing (to a strategic asset allocation) and tactical asset allocation (relative to strategic asset allocation). Rebalancing is the discipline of adjusting portfolio weights to more closely align with the strategic asset allocation. Changes in asset prices may cause the portfolio asset mix to deviate from strategic target weights even in the absence of changing investor circumstances, a revised economic outlook, or tactical asset allocation views. In contrast, tactical asset allocation (TAA) involves short-term tilts away from the strategic asset allocation (SAA) in order to exploit perceived opportunities in financial market conditions (e.g., temporary asset mispricing). These short-term bets are expected to increase risk-adjusted return. SAA is developed based on long-term economic forecasts and capital market expectations (long-term expected asset class returns).

没太懂这个题的意思请教老师

1 个答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2023年06月21日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


Statement 1说如果Channel降低养老金计划的贡献的可能性很大,那么对于Channel的养老金计划而言,大量配置非流动性资产可能不合适。


如果采用了对养老金expected cash contributions 的变更,将会实质性地影响基金的资产配置策略。然而,按照M同学所说目前来看,这种情况发生的可能性似乎很低。目前,这表明养老金计划需要增加对流动性问题的敏感度,但不一定需要立即修订当前的资产配置。


———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————


Statement 2说像Channel的养老金计划这样的大型机构投资者很可能受益于采用主动股权策略,因为他们可以利用基金经理的接触、流动性和交易成本等优势。


大型机构投资者,包括Channel的养老金计划,可能会从运营效率和其他竞争优势(如规模、专业知识和资源)中受益。然而,规模可能也会带来与基础资产的流动性条件和交易成本相关的障碍。非常大的规模可能会使在某些主动股权策略中有效地部署资本变得困难,例如从利基市场或拥有一小组独特想法或集中投注的熟练投资经理中受益。因此不一定正确。


———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————


Statement 3就考得比较细了


Channel’s pension fund may rebalance portfolio weights from the strategic allocation,我们认为rebalance就是要调整portfolio,使其不偏离SAA的policy portfolio,


exploit perceived opportunities based on its lastest five year capital market expectations. 这句话说的就是TAA,利用短期的资本市场预期获得超额回报。


其实两个半句都没错,但是合在一起就错了,合在一起翻译就是rebalance的目的是通过TAA获得超额回报,其实不是,rebalance是为了调整portfolio使其不过于偏离目标权重~

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