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rikkisong72 · 2023年06月12日

为什么紧缩财政政策会导致利率下降

NO.PZ2018091901000052

问题如下:

Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:

Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:

Observation 1 Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight.

Based on Observation 1, fiscal and monetary policies in Country Y will most likely lead to:

选项:

A.

low nominal rates.

B.

high nominal rates.

C.

either high or low nominal rates.

解释:

C is correct.

Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight. With this combination of persistently loose and tight policies, the impact could lead to higher or lower nominal rates (typically labeled as mid-nominal rates).

解析:

Y国的货币政策持续宽松(通胀上升),财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)。由于持续的宽松和紧缩政策(货币和财政政策并不一致),其影响可能导致名义利率上升或下降(通常被称为中间名义利率)。

因此只有C选项正确。

这块在课上就没听懂,不是很理解老师说的推导逻辑。

2 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年06月14日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


不好意思同学。我先前回答的第一句应该是因为紧缩财政政策就代表政府会削减在基建方面的借债。

回复的逻辑方面是没有问题的。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

源_品职助教 · 2023年06月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:



因为紧缩货币政策就代表政府会削减在基建方面的借债。

这些借债其实都是货币需求。

货币需求减少了,在货币供给不变的情况下,代表货币价格的利率就下降了。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

rikkisong72 · 2023年06月14日

老师我问的是紧缩的<财政政策>哦

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NO.PZ2018091901000052问题如下 Neshie Wakuluk is investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s prections: Wakuluk cis to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:Observation 1 Monetary polihbeen persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscpolicies have been persistently tight.Baseon Observation 1, fiscanmonetary policies in Country Y will most likely leto:A.low nominrates. B.high nominrates. either high or low nominrates. C is correct.Monetary polihbeen persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscpolicies have been persistently tight. With this combination of persistently loose antight policies, the impacoulleto higher or lower nominrates (typically labeleminominrates). 解析:Y国的货币政策持续宽松(通胀上升),财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)。由于持续的宽松和紧缩政策(货币和财政政策并不一致),其影响可能导致名义利率上升或下降(通常被称为中间名义利率)。因此只有C正确。我还在想contraction阶段,宽松的货币政策很有可能传导不下去,相对而言财政政策影响可能更大,所以利率会下降?所以遇到这种题,不用考虑business cycle阶段,直接两个正常人影响一叠加就行了?

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