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Luhunlu · 2023年06月11日

老师,可以解释一下题目中对于A选项的表述吗?没太看懂

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NO.PZ202208160100000304

问题如下:

Which of the recent economic developments discussed by Birol and Pamuk is most likely to lead to a currency crisis?

选项:

A.The banking sector B.The exchange rate system C.The trend in terms of trade and monetary ratios

解释:

Solution

A is correct. Pamuk’s description of growth in the banking sector coupled with short-term funding denominated in foreign currency can lead to a currency crisis. Countries with fixed or partially fixed exchange rates are more susceptible. Broad measures of money such as M2 are likely to be rising (not falling) just prior to a crisis. The terms of trade are favorable for Daltonia.

B is incorrect. Countries with fixed or partially fixed exchange rates are more susceptible.

C is incorrect. Broad measures of money such as M2 are likely to be rising (not falling) just prior to a crisis.

中文解析:

A是正确的。帕慕克对银行业增长的描述,加上以外币计价的短期资金,可能导致货币危机。实行固定汇率或部分固定汇率的国家更容易受到影响。广义货币指标,如M2,很可能在危机爆发前上升(而不是下降)。交易条件对道尔顿尼亚很有利。

选项B不正确。实行固定汇率或部分固定汇率的国家更容易受到影响。

C是不正确的。广义货币指标,如M2,很可能在危机爆发前上升(而不是下降)。

“our banking sector has grown and strengthened substantially by offering foreign denominated savings accounts to foreign investors and lending those funds for domestic infrastructure investments.”是怎么引起currency crisis的呢?



1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年06月12日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


根据蒙代尔不可能三角:固定汇率、资本自由流动、独立货币政策,三者不可能同时满足。


一般来说,CFA里的绝大部分国家,如果没有明确讲资本管制,那么资本默认是自由流动的,那么对于使用固定汇率的国家来说,就只能牺牲掉独立货币政策。


一个连自己的货币政策,都无法独立自主的国家,它是比较脆弱的,非常容易受到国际经济环境的影响。这是A选项要表达的含义。

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