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tzdsgn · 2023年06月05日

更robust体现在哪些方面呀

NO.PZ2019122802000036

问题如下:

Which of the following statement about Monte Carlo Simulation in alternative asset allocation is not correct?

选项:

A.

Monte Carlo Simulation relaxes the assumption of normally distributed return.

B.

Monte Carlo Simulation combines the high and low volatility normal distributions to lead a skewed and fat-tailed distribution for alternative investments.

C.

Monte Carlo Simulation is the most robust asset allocation approach.

解释:

C is correct.

Risk-factor based optimization is the most robust asset allocation approach.


蒙特卡洛模拟来做另类的资产配置的时候,核心的目标是去模拟一个skewed and fat-tailed 收益与风险的分布;具体方法是这三步:

确定low-volatility 以及 high-volatility两种情况下的风险因子,确定好之后,用蒙特卡洛模拟建议不同情况下的收益模型,然后再把这个不同情况下的收益模型叠加起来,就能构建一个skewed and fat-tailed模型,这样就符合另类投资的收益风险特征了。

这是讲义当中写的具体步骤哈:

Estimate the behavior of factors and/or assets in low-volatility regimes and high-volatility regimes

then generating scenarios using the different means and covariances estimated under the different regimes.

This mixture of high-and low-volatility normal distributions would lead to an altogether skewed and fat-tailed distribution of asset class return or risk factor changes.

更robust体现在哪些方面呀

1 个答案
已采纳答案

伯恩_品职助教 · 2023年06月05日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


Robust在这里是灵活的意思。risk factor-based approach为什么能配置的资产更加灵活呢,举个例子,如果想mock创业板指数,其中指数的股票里有些流动性很差,买不到,而且就算买到了,以后不想要了,再卖掉也很会很难。这样这个资产相对不是那么的“完美”对吧,但是我又想mock创业板指数。怎么办呢?risk factor-based approach就派上用场了。做一个类似这些很难买到的指数里的个股的risk factor 。(例如这个买不到指数里的个股是小股票c,受小市值因子影响很大,就做多一个小市值股票同时做空一个大市值的股票,模拟出c股票的类似走势,即使没有买c股票,但是想要的结果达到了,用的risk factor approach模拟的结果涨跌和c股票都差不多)这样下来整体能mock创业板指数,而且持有的资产剔除了创业板指数中的流动性差的风险,是不是更加健康了呢。

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