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喂呀喂呀 · 2023年06月01日

为何不是直接求2015年的价值

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201512300100001207

问题如下:

7. Under Scenario 1, the intrinsic value per share of the equity of Amersheen is closest to:

选项:

A.

R13.29.

B.

R15.57.

C.

R16.31.

解释:

As the multistage residual income model results in an intrinsic value of R16.31.

This variation of the multistage residual income model, in which residual income fades over time, is:

where  is the persistence factor.

The first step is to calculate residual income per share for years 2012 2015:

ROE = earnings / book value

Growth rate = ROE × retention rate

Retention rate = 1  (dividends/earnings)

Book valuet= book valuet 1 + earningst 1  dividendst 1

Residual income per share = EPS  equity charge per share

Equity charge per share = book value per sharet× cost of equity

Using the residual income per share for 2015 of R1.608, the second step is to calculate the present value of the terminal value:

PV of Terminal Value =

R1.6081+0.10-0.70(1.10)3=R3.0203

Then, intrinsic value per share is:

V0=R7.60+R2.52(1.10)+R2.31(1.10)2+R1.98(1.10)3+R3.0203=R16.31

我看到题第一反应的解题思路如图,请问是哪里思考有问题。




1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年06月01日

同学你好,你V0的这个公式,不是相当于默认0时刻是2015年 初了吗?

可是我们这道题要求的时间点是2012年年初股票的的intrinsic value,你把2012年到2015年的RI还要进行折现到0时刻这一步,才能计算2012年年初的股票价值哦

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