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13675759099 · 2023年05月21日

country C

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NO.PZ202105270100000507

问题如下:

Based on Exhibit 1, which country’s central bank is most likely to buy domestic bonds near term to sterilize the impact of money flows on domestic liquidity?

选项:

A.Country A B.Country B C.Country C

解释:

B is correct.

Hot money is flowing out of Country B; thus, Country B’s central bank is the most likely to sell foreign currency (thereby draining domestic liquidity) to limit/avoid depreciation of the domestic currency and buy government securities (thereby providing liquidity) to sterilize the impact on bank reserves and interest rates.

A is incorrect because Country A is not experiencing hot money flows and, therefore, would not need to sterilize the impact of money flows on domestic liquidity.

C is incorrect because hot money is flowing into Country C; thus, Country C’s central bank is most likely to sell government securities to limit the growth of bank reserves and/or maintain a target level of interest rates.


热钱正在流出B国;因此,B国央行最有可能出售外币(从而耗尽国内流动性),以限制/避免本国货币贬值,并购买政府证券(从而提供流动性),以冲销对银行准备金和利率的影响。

A是错误的,因为A国没有热钱流动,因此不需要冲销资金流动对国内流动性的影响。

C是错误的,因为热钱正在流入C国;因此,C国央行最有可能出售政府债券,以限制银行储备的增长和/或维持目标利率水平。

看了答案明白了选项B的逻辑了,但是关于C,我当时是觉得热钱涌入,推高C汇率,只要国内市场人民币多了,汇率就不会那么高,所以选C,这样考虑有什么问题呢,劳烦老师解答,谢谢。

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笛子_品职助教 · 2023年05月22日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


看了答案明白了选项B的逻辑了,但是关于C,我当时是觉得热钱涌入,推高C汇率,只要国内市场人民币多了,汇率就不会那么高,所以选C,这样考虑有什么问题呢,劳烦老师解答,谢谢。


同学讨论的是汇率高与不高的问题,但是这道题并没有问汇率高与不高的问题,这道题是说冲销。见下图关键词:

我们看冲销的含义:冲销是指国外流进来多好钱,央行就要回收多少钱。最终让货币数量保持不变。


既然热钱流入,那么中央银行应该是紧缩才对。中央银行卖出债券就是回收流动性,就是紧缩。


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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

506623496 · 2023年12月20日

所以稳定汇率和冲销干预,央行的操作是相反的,这是三元悖论的的一部分吗?

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