NO.PZ2015121810000041
问题如下:
When assessing investment opportunities in equities, investors should:
选项:
A.
assign higher equity risk premiums to non-cyclical companies, relative to cyclical companies.
B.
forecast lower volatility in the growth rate of earnings for cyclical companies, relative to non-cyclical companies.
C.
forecast higher growth rates in earnings for cyclical companies coming out of a recession, relative to non-cyclical companies.
解释:
C is correct.
During recessions, cyclical companies are likely to experience sharp declines in earnings, more so than non-cyclical companies. In contrast, while coming out of a recession, cyclical companies are likely to generate higher earnings growth relative to non-cyclical companies.
考点:equity risk premium
解析:A,与非周期性行业比,周期性行业对经济周期更敏感,因此面临的风险更大,equity risk premium越高,A的说法错误;
B,周期性行业的收益增长率波动性比非周期性行业更大,B错。
C,当走出经济衰退时,周期性行业收益的增长率更大,因为周期性行业对经济周期更敏感,C正确。
题干没说经济走出衰退,而且,如果是非周期股票,如还在高速成长的公司,或许波动更大?