问题如下图:
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解释:
经典题里何老师说,因为有单位根现象,所以必须要用一阶差分方法处理,但是company3的表格里明明写的是没有单位根现象啊,有点懵,请老师解答一下,谢谢
NO.PZ201709270100000509 问题如下 9.Baseon Exhibit 5, whisingle time-series mol woulmost likely appropriate for Busse to use in precting the future stopriof Company #3? A.Log-linetrenmol B.First-fferenceAR(2) mol C.First-fferencelog AR(1) mol C is correct. a result of the exponentitrenin the time series of stoprices for Company #3, Busse woulwant to take the naturlog of the series anthen first-fferenit. Because the time series also hsericorrelation in the resials from the trenmol, Busse shouluse a more complex mol, suautoregressive (AR) mol. 能不能详细解答下这题是在考什么?为什么最后要用LOG ar
NO.PZ201709270100000509问题如下9.Baseon Exhibit 5, whisingle time-series mol woulmost likely appropriate for Busse to use in precting the future stopriof Company #3? A.Log-linetrenmolB.First-fferenceAR(2) molC.First-fferencelog AR(1) molC is correct. a result of the exponentitrenin the time series of stoprices for Company #3, Busse woulwant to take the naturlog of the series anthen first-fferenit. Because the time series also hsericorrelation in the resials from the trenmol, Busse shouluse a more complex mol, suautoregressive (AR) mol. 一阶差分跟一阶自回归分别用来修正什么问题
NO.PZ201709270100000509 1、First-fferencelog AR(2) mol是不是更加准确? 2、如果company 3的AR是Yes,那么怎么做?
NO.PZ201709270100000509 老师好, 在之前学的普通的回归分析中,自相关就是残差项自己和自己有一定的关系;条件异方差是残差的取值随着X的波动而波动。 当来到AR模型这块的时候,我发现其实不论是自相关还是条件异方差,都是残差和自己有关系,然后我就不知道怎么区分了。是不是AR模型中的条件异方差是当前的残差和前一个残差的关系,而AR模型中的异方差就不一定了,有可能是当前的残差和前一个残差的关系,也有可能是当前的残差和前几个残差的关系。 请问老师我这么理解对吗?谢谢
First-fferenceAR(2) mol First-fferencelog AR(1) mol C is correct. a result of the exponentitrenin the time series of stoprices for Company #3, Busse woulwant to take the naturlog of the series anthen first-fferenit. Because the time series also hsericorrelation in the resials from the trenmol, Busse shouluse a more complex mol, suautoregressive (AR) mol. 想问一下,课件里哪里讲到如果时间序列有sericorrelation就用AR解决啊?