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toffee · 2023年05月11日

这题出的一头雾水

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NO.PZ202206070100000103

问题如下:

O’Reilly’s explanation for the anchoring bias and the prudence bias is most likely incorrect?

选项:

A.for both. B.only for the prudence bias. C.only for the anchoring bias.

解释:

Solution

A is correct. Both of O’Reilly’s explanations are incorrect. His description of the prudence bias is incorrect—he is referring to the confirmation bias. The prudence bias is the tendency to temper forecasts so that they do not appear extreme or the tendency to be overly cautious in forecasting. His explanation of the anchoring bias is also incorrect. The anchoring bias is the tendency of the mind to give disproportionate weight to the first information it receives on a topic: initial impressions, estimates, or data, anchor subsequent thoughts and judgments.

B is incorrect. His description of the prudence bias is incorrect—he is referring to the confirmation bias.

C is incorrect. O’Reilly’s statement regarding the anchoring trap is incorrect. This is a description of availability bias.

A是正确的。奥莱利的两种解释都是不正确的。他对审慎偏差的描述是不正确的——他指的是确认偏差。审慎偏差是指为使预测不显得极端而调整预测的倾向,或预测时过于谨慎的倾向。他对锚定偏差的解释也是不正确的。锚定偏误是一种倾向,即大脑会对接收到的关于某个主题的第一个信息给予不成比例的权重:最初的印象、估计或数据,从而锚定随后的想法和判断。

B是不正确的。他对审慎偏差的描述是不正确的——他指的是确认偏差。

C是不正确的。奥莱利关于锚定陷阱的声明是不正确的。这是对可得性偏差的描述。

让描述 A B两个偏差, 结果解释是A C 然后 让判断对不对, 那B 明显不是 C啊

3 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年05月12日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


我明白同学的意思了。

这里的确是协会自己出题的问题。是有些答非所问,容易给人造成困扰。

但是不关怎么看,它说的都不是审慎偏差,所以答案还是没问题。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

源_品职助教 · 2023年05月11日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


解释说了,审慎偏差的描述是不正确的,锚定偏差的解释也是不正确的。

而题目是问O同学不正确的描述是哪些,所以两个偏差都要入选。

所以答案是A

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

toffee · 2023年05月11日

题目上文提到两个偏差,一个是锚定,一个是谨慎,下文的解释一个是锚定,这个解释我知道不正确。第二个莫名其妙来了个确认偏差……然后问你对不,要解释应该解释的是谨慎偏差啊?牛头不对马嘴嚒

源_品职助教 · 2023年05月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


解释说了,审慎偏差的描述是不正确的,锚定偏差的解释也是不正确的。

而题目是问O同学不正确的描述是哪些,所以两个偏差都要入选。

所以答案是A

----------------------------------------------
加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

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