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开泰-王飞 · 2023年04月28日

这题herding为啥不对

NO.PZ2022052301000006

问题如下:

Over the next week, Owen and Yang are scheduled to meet with Fillman Associates, Philly’s largest institutional client. Owen mentions that Fillman is more sophisticated than Philly’s typical client. To prepare for the meeting Yang reviews several of Fillman’s annual due diligence forms completed by Owen. One question in particular catches her attention: it asked how the firm’s equity portfolios performed during the 2005–2007 residential property boom and how the equity turnover rates varied from previous years when the markets were more efficient. In part, the response read, “During the residential property boom of 2005–2007 equity trading activity was significantly higher than previous years when the markets were more efficient. Our trading expertise allowed us to consistently harvest profits.”

What behavioral bias is most likely indicated by Philly’s equity turnover rates during the 2005–2007 residential boom?

选项:

A.

Herding

B.

Overconfidence

C.

Recency effect

解释:

Philly’s increased trading activity is indicative of overconfidence. In bubbles investors often exhibit symptoms of overconfidence; overtrading, under-estimation of risks, failure to diversify, and rejection of contradictory information. With overconfidence, investors are more active and trading volume increases, thus lowering their expected profits. Overconfidence and excessive trading are linked to confirmation bias and self-attribution bias as well as hindsight bias and the illusion of knowledge.

herding也会产生过度交易啊

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年05月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


因为 P 公司的答复中,并没有特别强调:我们交易量增加,是因为看到其他同业也在买,因为他们买,所以我们也买

即:案例背景并没有提到这点,所以不选 A 哈

完整的解析,也请参考:https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/105603

----------------------------------------------
就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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