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李梦璐 · 2023年04月23日

行为偏差

NO.PZ2022052301000009

问题如下:

Arzac asks Pak to describe how he has constructed his investment portfolio over time. He informs Arzac that 12 years ago his employer offered him company shares at a discount, but share prices declined because the company wasn’t performing as well as expected. He decided he would rather construct his investment portfolio by investing in three mutual funds he had analyzed, two of which were balanced funds and the third a global equity fund. Pak allocated one-third of his available funds to each of the mutual funds. Pak then describes how over the last five years, he has reviewed his portfolio each year, leading to a higher allocation in global securities over time on the understanding they would help reduce overall risk.

Which behavioral factor most likely impacted Pak’s decisions on how to construct his investment portfolio over time?

选项:

A.

Naive diversification

B.

Home bias

C.

Familiar investing

解释:

Pak constructed his initial investment portfolio through the equal distribution of mutual funds, reflecting simple heuristics or a framing bias. This is an example of a naive diversification strategy (i.e., dividing assets equally among available funds irrespective of the underlying composition of the funds). The equal distribution may also reflect a fear of regret: Pak doesn’t understand which fund will outperform, so he decides to invest in all three equally.

B is incorrect because Pak has been increasing his exposure to global securities over time, as he wants to reduce risk by increasing his diversification by investing outside his home market. He does not have a home bias.

C is incorrect because Pak did not purchase an investment on the basis of familiarity but declined to purchase his employer’s stock because he felt the company was not performing to expectations.

Pak then describes how over the last five years, he has reviewed his portfolio each year, leading to a higher allocation in global securities over time on the understanding they would help reduce overall risk.

意思不是说后面根据分析做了分配比例的调整么,那不就是不属于简单分配了?




1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年04月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


1

其实不同的案例背景,对应的是不同的选项分析

同学所引用的句子,即第一段最后一句,是用来排除选项 B 的

因为增加了全球股票基金的持仓,所以没有反映 home bias

2

而这之前的句子,是用来分析选项 A 的,所以对于选项 A 的分析,不用管最后一句话哈,因为出题人设计最后一句话想针对的是 B 选项

也请参考:https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/108945

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