NO.PZ201511190100000203
问题如下：
Discuss how Gerber displayed conservatism bias. Cite three examples from the reading.
选项：
解释：
Conservatism bias, a cognitive error, is a belief perseverance bias in which people maintain their prior views or forecasts by inadequately incorporating new information. This cognitive error has aspects of both statistical and information-processing errors. Gerber displayed conservatism bias by maintaining his prior views on ABC without adequately incorporating new information. There are several examples of new information that was either ignored or inadequately considered:
• the delays in initiation of Phase Two trials;
• the discouraging results from Phase One;
• the cautionary language from the CEO; and
• the chief scientist’s statement indicating that there were “major obstacles to overcome.”
Gerber disregarded all the negative news and cautionary language that was released by ABC. Gerber failed to incorporate the new information into his analysis of ABC. The impact was a loss to the foundation, which could have been reduced had Gerber incorporated the information into his analysis and adjusted the foundation’s holdings of ABC.
老师请问，Conservatism bias举例是列举没有被合理地处理的新信息吗？
因为conservatism bias是偏重base information, 如果我回答是摘出Gerber overweight base information的句子，这样会给分吗?
Gerber displayed conservatism bias as follows:
1.Gerber believes that the research setbacks are temporary because of ABC’s past success with projects.
2.Gerber initially feels that fifteen percent investment in ABC is high. However, upon review, he decides it is appropriate based on Ludwigs’ involvement and their past success with similar ventures.
