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𝒜𝒩𝒥𝒜 安雅🎃 · 2023年04月02日

分子现金流为什么是用dividend而非NOI?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601050300000304

问题如下:

Hui Lin, CFA is an investment manager looking to diversify his portfolio by adding equity real estate investments. Lin and his investment analyst, Maria Nowak, are discussing whether they should invest in publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs) or public real estate operating companies (REOCs). Nowak expresses a strong preference for investing in public REITs in taxable accounts.

Lin schedules a meeting to discuss this matter, and for the meeting, Lin asks Nowak to gather data on three specific REITs and come prepared to explain her preference for public REITs over public REOCs. At the meeting, Lin asks Nowak:

"Why do you prefer to invest in public REITs over public REOCs for taxable accounts?"

Nowak provides Lin with an explanation for her preference of public REITs and provides Lin with data on the three REITs shown in Exhibits 1 and 2.

The meeting concludes with Lin directing Nowak to identify the key investment characteristics along with the principal risks of each REIT and to investigate the valuation of the three REITs. Specifically, Lin asks Nowak to value each REIT using four different methodologies:

Method 1 Net asset value

Method 2 Discounted cash flow valuation using a two-step dividend model

Method 3 Relative valuation using property subsector average P/FFO multiple

Method 4 Relative valuation using property subsector average P/AFFO multiple


4. Based on Exhibit 2, the value per share of REIT C using valuation Method 2 is closest to:

选项:

A.

$55.83.

B.

$97.57.

C.

$100.91.

解释:

C is correct.

The value per share for REIT C is $100.91.

关于本题,我的疑问是为什么using two-step dividend model时,分子现金流是dividend而不是NOI?我看了韩韩助教的回复 https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/23738 ,但还想再详细确认一下:


这道题的题干显示出ABC三个REIT都是public REIT,而public REIT的四种估值方法分别是NAVPS、P/FFO、P/AFFO和DCF;题目要求我用两阶段DDM(即是DCF方法),所以我就得用Equity中DCF方法那样使用dividend作为现金流,这里的DCF并不是用NOI作为现金流,用NOI作为现金流的是private equity房地产投资中的DCF方法。我这样的思路是正确的吗?可以用这思路来解题吗?


要是选项中有个答案是用NOI算出的value per share,我真的会选错😭



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我还有一个与本题无关的疑问:讲义的表格里显示Private equity房地产投资中,有private REITS和private REOCPublic equity房地产投资中,也有REITS和REOC


教材和考题几乎是在讨论public REIT和REOC,对吧?正式考试中,题目会明确在题干中提到这是public REIT还是private REIT吗?还是说当题目没有给明确信息点时,我们也要默认它是在问public REIT?我们貌似也没学到private REIT估值?


1 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2023年04月04日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1、可以这么记,用NOI的是NAVPS方法,就是我们基于private equity real estate中的direct capitalization method来做的,第一步就是计算出来NAV,也就是cash NOI/ assumed cap rate。相当于估计出来了账上的房地产的market value。而用DDM方法,就是用dividend折现;

2、REITs一般都默认为public的,可以默认是公募REITs.

地产估值的方法总结如下:

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!