NO.PZ2022070602000012
问题如下:
A risk analyst is estimating the variance of returns on a stock index for the next trading day. The analyst uses the following GARCH (1,1) model:
where σ_n^2, r_n-1, and σ_n-1 represent the index variance on day n, return on day n-1,and volatility on dayn-1, respectively. If the expected value of the return is constant over time, which combination of values for α and β would result in a stable GARCH (1,1) process?
选项:
A.
α = 0.073637 and β = 0.927363
B.
α = 0.075637 and β = 0.923363
C.
α = 0.084637 and β = 0.916363
D.
α = 0.086637 and β = 0.914363
解释:
中文解析:
B正确。为了让GARCH(1,1)平稳,参数α,β和γ之和必须等于1。所以α和β的和小于1。
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B is correct. For a GARCH (1,1) process to be stable, the parameters α, β, and γ must be
positive and sum to 1. Therefore, the sum of α and β needs to be less than 1.
A, C, and D are incorrect. In each of these cases, the sum of α and β is greater than 1.
所以a+b越小越平稳