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王昕彤 · 2023年03月07日

如题

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NO.PZ202301100200000602

问题如下:

When commenting on the pricing of physical commodities, Ahn is most likely correct with regard to:

选项:

A.Statement 1.

B.Statement 2.

C.Statement 3.

解释:

Solution

A is correct. As opposed to a stock or bond that receives periodic income, owning a commodity incurs transportation and storage costs, which affects the shape of the forward price curve of commodity derivative contracts.

B is incorrect. The force of arbitrage, normally forcing the convergence of the futures price and spot price at the end of the contract, may not be entirely enforced if delivery is required at a specific location and if some participants do not have the ability to make or take delivery of the commodity.

C is incorrect. The valuation of equities is based on the estimation of future profitability and cash flows, while valuation of commodities is based on a discounted forecast of future possible prices based on such factors as supply and demand of a physical item or the expected volatility of future prices.

statement2为什么不对,请用中文解释一下

1 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2023年03月11日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


套利会促使现货和期货价格在合约到期的时候趋向一致,而不是在签合约的时候就一致。

正是因为套利者的增多,套利机会慢慢减少,使得现货和期货价格趋向一致的。

而且如果现货交易存在高昂的成本,比如必须在特定的地点存储或者必须使用特定的仪器,则现货很难交割,即使有很多套利者,也不会促使现货和期货完全趋向一致。

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