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高明月 · 2023年02月24日

投资烟酒这类行业的不应该就是防御性质的吗?答案没看明白呢

NO.PZ2022120703000093

问题如下:

Excluding the tobacco sector in a passive investment strategy most likely tilts the portfolio towards a more:

选项:

A.cyclical, value-oriented profile. B.cyclical, growth-oriented profile. C.defensive, growth-oriented profile.

解释:

B is correct because "incorporating any given set of exclusions or ESG datasets into a passive investment strategy potentially carries unintended consequences, notably by limiting one’s ability to diversify. This may result from portfolio distortion to unwanted factor and market exposure. Despite their weight within a given broader index, reducing or eliminating exposure to certain sectors represents a natural re-weight to the remaining sectors and index constituents. Commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimize exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical, growth-oriented profile."

A is incorrect because "commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios characteristics of value-oriented profile, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimise exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical, growth-oriented not value-oriented since such companies are excluded profile."

C is incorrect because "commonly excluded sectors, like tobacco and fossil fuels, represent a specific profile. Generally speaking, companies in these sectors are more mature and face less pressure to reinvest cash flow into growth-related, capital expenditure programmes. As a result, stable operating margins equate to consistent cash flows and dividend pay-out ratios, which provide defensive, counter-cyclical exposure within portfolios. Indices that exclude or minimise exposure to these sectors will naturally tilt portfolios towards a more cyclical not defensive since such companies are excluded, growth-oriented profile."

求解答

1 个答案

王岑 · 2023年02月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好,

像烟草这种行业,是属于防御型产业,对商业周期是不敏感的。而同时,这种行业因为现金流比较稳定,也不太可能把所产生的现金流投入到需要大量资金的成长型行业当中去。如果按照题目所说的,将烟草行业从投资组合中剔除,则整个投资组合则会向周期性的、增长型的行业倾斜。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

patricks · 2023年05月19日

请问什么算是周期性行业呢?我记得周老师说过行业如果不随着经济跌宕而跌宕的就不算周期性行业是吗

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