NO.PZ2020033001000042
问题如下:
During the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, traders and risk managers used copula to model correlations, but the models and the economy actually differed greatly, which also led to incorrect estimates of structured product risks , Which of the following statements is the least likely to explain the failure of the copula model during the financial crisis?
选项:
A.
During the financial crisis, correlations for senior tranches of CDOs stays constant.
B.
The copula correlation model was calibrated using data from low-risk time periods..
C.
During the financial crisis, correlations for both equity and mezzanine tranches of CDOs increased.
D.
The copula correlation model assumes that the CDO equity tranche and senior tranche are negatively correlated.
解释:
A is correct.
考点:copula function
解析:金融危机时,整个环境都在恶化,各个senior层内的违约情况也都在增高,senior层之间的correlation也在上升。
问题是最不可能解释失败的,A选项说是correlation维持constant,而危机下是会变动的,那A不就是有问题,所以会导致失败吗?为什么还要选A呢