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Diana · 2023年02月01日

fututure valuation

NO.PZ2021061002000049

问题如下:

QWR is a financial intermediary active in both futures and forward markets.

Now, QWR acts as a futures broker to help its clients clear and settle their commodity futures margin positions with futures exchanges.

Here is the information about the copper futures market:


Now, one of the QWR clients enters a one-month copper futures contract, and the spot price of the copper is $4 a pound, the risk-free rate is 1.5% and constant. Each contract incurs a storage charge of $10.50 at the end of the month.

Which of the following descriptions of margin accounts is correct?

选项:

A.

If copper futures prices immediately fall below $3.8454 per pound or below $96,135 per contract, the client will receive margin calls.

B.

If copper futures prices immediately fall below $3.6054 per pound or below $90,135 per contract, the client will receive margin.

C.

Since futures are settled daily, we cannot determine the exact futures price at which margin calls are made.

解释:

中文解析:

由表格可知该铜期货合约的初始保证金是10,000.维持保证金是6,000.

因此当保证金水平低于6,000时,会收到追加保证金的通知,即期货合约价格下降的空间为4,000美元,即每磅允许下跌0.16美元(= 4,000/25,000美元)

计算期货合约的价格f0(T)

f0(T) = (S0) (1 + r) T+FV(C) = [(4 x 25000) (1.015 (1/12))]+10.50 =100,135

因此当合约价格低于96,135美元(每份合同100,135美元- 4,000美元= 96,135美元)时,需要追加保证金。

另外,由于每份合同是100,135美元,对应的是每磅4.0054美元。

因此当价格低于3.8454美元(每磅4.0054美元- 0.16美元= 3.8454美元)时,会收到保证金催收电话。

强化课时老师说future和forward计算方法差不多,就只讲了区别。那这道题如果用forward valuation的话方法的话,F0t=[S0-PV0(I)+PVt(c)]*(1+r)^t

这个pv(c)是在括号内的,需要乘利率,为什么这里就不用了呢?

2 个答案

Lucky_品职助教 · 2023年04月03日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


回复:libaicun

题干说了10.5是月末的数据Each contract incurs a storage charge of $10.50 at the end of the month.

f0(T) = (S0) (1 + r) T+FV(C) = [(4 x 25000) (1.015 (1/12))]+10.50 =100,135 在计算时,10.5也是在中括号外直接加的,没有复利哦

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

Lucky_品职助教 · 2023年02月04日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


括号内应该是0时刻的cost,复利后算出t时刻的数据。但本题中说了这个cost是at the end of the month.所以不用再进行复利

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Pavel Korchagin · 2023年04月01日

这个cost应该是折现过的把,只不过后面公式又乘了一个1.05^1/12,所以前面的折现就抵消了

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