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nuankaka · 2023年01月31日

这道题 如何确定是看表1 还是表2?

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NO.PZ201809170400000403

问题如下:

Which manager is most likely to get caught in a value trap?

选项:

A.

Furlings

B.

Asgard

C.

Tokra

解释:

C is the correct answer. A value trap occurs when a stock that appears to have an attractive valuation because of a low P/E and/or P/B multiple (or other relevant value proxies) appears cheap only because of its worsening growth prospects. Although a pitfall such as value trap is more common in fundamental investing, a quantitative process that relies on historical information and does not integrate future expectations about cash flows or profitability may be unable to detect a value trap.

A is an incorrect answer. Although Furlings is a top-down manager, its sector portfolios are built through investing in a small number of high-conviction securities after its analysts have dissected the financial statements and analyzed the competitive landscape and growth prospects. Managers at Furlings are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

B is an incorrect answer. One of Asgard’s investment criteria is identifying firms that have good potential cash flow growth over the next three years. The firm has access to database and support tools, allowing its analysts to evaluate many potential growth metrics. Managers at Asgard are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

这道题 如何确定是看表1 还是表2?因为如果看表2的话 T的 P/E P/B 都很高啊,不是不会在value trap里面吗? 谢谢

awen · 2023年08月17日

不能看表2 ,表2是说这3个基金的盈利情况(管理者自身的情况),和他们要买的产品无关,看value trap核心是看这3个基金要买的产品是啥样的(要看被投资产品的盈利情况表,没给,只能从表1找)

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年02月01日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


这道题 如何确定是看表1 还是表2?因为如果看表2的话 T的 P/E P/B 都很高啊,不是不会在value trap里面吗? 谢谢

value trap是指现在静态看,P/E 和P/B都很低,看上去很便宜。

但是未来盈利前景很差,考虑到未来盈利下滑,实际上并不便宜。

这是value trap。


比如一个公司,现在EPS是3元,股价是9元,3倍P/E,而同行业公司要6倍P/E,看上去很便宜,于是买了。

但是第二年,它的EPS跌到0.3元,股价还是9元的话,就是30倍P /E ,这就不便宜了。

这就是value trap。


所以value trap是看未来的,所有不看未来盈利预期,只看当下是否便宜的,都可能掉进value trap。


是否看未来这个信息要在表1里找。Tokara只看静态财务指标,因此会掉进value trap。


furling说会看公司品牌,竞争力,这就是用来预测未来的。

ASGard说要找有强悍商业模式和良好治理结构的公司,这也是用来预测未来的。

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hyi725 · 2024年07月04日

我真的很晕,这个问题的前一道题才说Tokra用的不是profitability而是price momentum的指标,这会儿怎么又是静态指标的value trap了?

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