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cika · 2023年01月16日

汇率和利率

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NO.PZ202206070100000301

问题如下:

Of Kumar’s three points regarding interest rate linkages among countries proposed for the new fund, she is least likely correct with respect to bond yields in:

选项:

A.Singapore and Sweden. B.Denmark. C.Chile.

解释:

Solution

B is correct. Kumar’s second point regarding Danish bonds is incorrect. When two currencies are pegged or linked, the bond yields of the country with the weaker currency are likely to rise higher unless the market is confident that the government will maintain the peg.

C is incorrect. Kumar’s first point regarding Chilean bonds is a true statement. If a country’s exchange rate is severely undervalued and is expected to rise substantially against another country’s, then bond yields in the first country will be lower than they would otherwise be in relation to the other country. Since Chile’s exchange rate relative to Great Britain’s is undervalued, we would expect the Chilean bond yields to be lower than they should be as compared to the yields on the British bonds.

A is incorrect. Kumar’s third point with respect to Singapore and Sweden is a true statement. Although real yields can vary, they can and do tend to move together.

题目考察的是利率与汇率的关联。Kumar关于丹麦债券的第二点论述是错误的。当两种货币挂钩或联系时,货币较弱的国家的债券收益率可能会上升,除非市场坚信政府将维持汇率盯住制度。

C是错误的。因为Kumar关于智利债券的第一点是对的。如果一个国家的汇率被严重低估,并且预计其相对于另一个国家的汇率将大幅上升,那么前者的债券收益率目前是比较低的。由于智利相对于英国的汇率被低估,我们预计智利的当前债券收益率低于其相对于英国债券收益率的应有水平(言外之意,应该更高才对)。

A是错误的。因为Kumar关于新加坡和瑞典的第三点论述是正确的。尽管实际收益率可能有所不同,但它们可以倾向于共同波动。

老师,麻烦讲下C选项中汇率和利率的关系。1、一国汇率上升,为什么其利率会上升;2、一国利率上升,短期内其汇率也会上升是否正确;3、在PPP下,一国利率上升,则该国汇率贬值是否正确。

3 个答案
已采纳答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年01月16日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:



1.这个结论其实是现象,就是汇率走高的同时,往往会伴随着利率的走高,其本质还是利率上升引起了汇率的上升。

具体原因可以参考“2”中的回答。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

源_品职助教 · 2023年01月16日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


3.PPP通常在长期成立,如果题明确说了PPP成立,

那么结论就是PPP成立,那么依据PPP公式,一国利率上升,其汇率在长期会下跌(外商投资获取收益后,开始撤资)。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

源_品职助教 · 2023年01月16日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:



2.这个结论是成立的,因为在短期,一国汇率出于上升状态,就表明投资这个国家有利可图,

那么就会投资这个国家货币,这个国家的货币就会走强。

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

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