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滴滴姐姐~ · 2023年01月01日

是不是题目。。哪里。。不大对?

NO.PZ2018091901000054

问题如下:

Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:

Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:

Observation 3 The current yield curve for Country Y suggests that the business cycle is in the slowdown phase, with bond yields starting to reflect contractionary conditions.

Based on Observation 3, Wakuluk most likely expects Country Y’s yield curve in the near term to:

选项:

A.

invert.

B.

flatten.

C.

steepen

解释:

C is correct.

The current yield curve for Country Y suggests that the business cycle is in the slowdown phase (curve is flat to inverted), with bond yields starting to reflect contractionary conditions (i.e., bond yields are declining). The curve will most likely steepen near term, consistent with the transition to the contractionary phase of the business cycle, and be the steepest on the cusp of the initial recovery phase.

解析:

Y国目前的收益率曲线表明,商业周期正处于放缓阶段(曲线从平向反方向),债券收益率开始反映出紧缩的状况(债券收益率正在下降)。这条曲线在短期内很可能会变陡,与商业周期向收缩阶段的过渡保持一致,并在初始复苏阶段的尖端变得最陡。

所以只有C选项正确。

表格里说Y国处于是contraction,文字部分说Y国处于是slowdown。

contraction和slowdown应该是俩不同的阶段叭。。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年01月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


表格里说Y国处于是contraction,文字部分说Y国处于是slowdown。

文字部分说,Y的经济周期是slowdown,但是债券市场已经开始反应contractionary。意思是,处于slowdown末尾,contraction初期这个阶段。

Observation 3 The current yield curve for Country Y suggests that the business cycle is in the slowdown phase, with bond yields starting to reflect contractionary conditions.


contraction和slowdown应该是俩不同的阶段叭。。

是两个不同的阶段。

这道题问的是:expects Country Y’s yield curve in the near term,预期近期的收益曲线形状,因为Y国处于slowdown末尾,contraction初期,并且债券市场有一定预期,已经在开始反应contraction,那么我们就要以contraction阶段来做题。

在contraction阶段,收益曲线是陡峭的。


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