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Brownie · 2022年12月29日

为什么说是two strategies

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NO.PZ201601050100001503

问题如下:

Identify two strategies Delgado should use to earn a positive roll yield. Describe the specific steps needed to execute each strategy.


解释:


Given that the base currency (the US dollar) is trading at a forward premium, the hedge requires the sale of US dollar forward, resulting in a positive roll yield. The concept of roll yield is very similar to forward rate bias and the carry trade. Here, Delgado is suggesting a strategy to pursue when there is a negative roll yield, because a hedger trading against the forward bias would be buying US dollars at a forward premium instead of selling them. The carry trade strategy of borrowing in low-yield currencies and investing in high-yield currencies is equivalent to trading the forward rate bias, not against it.

中文解析:

基于整个题干的背景可知:本币是EUR,外币是USD。因此担心外币贬值,需要short forward on EUR/USD(也就是解析里面说的base currency应该是USD)

现在美元存在远期溢价,即F>S,所以short forward on EUR/USD的头寸,计算roll yield=F-S/S也会有正的收益。

另外因为美元的利率低于欧元的利率,可以执行carry trade策略,借低利率货币投资于高利率货币,其中低利率货币又叫做forward premium currency,高利率货币又叫做forward discount currency。

看了之前同学提的问题,解释是carry trade 的另外一个说法是trade on forward rate bias,那其实就是一个策略啊,题目要我们给出两个策略,但实际上,我们的回答其实只是一个策略,用来两种说法来描述而已?

1 个答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年12月30日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


同学你好

是的,carry trade的另一个叫法是trade the forward rate bias,而且在这个名字下,低利率货币我们把它叫做forward premium currency,高利率货币叫做forward discount currency。

那这道课后题的答案也的确是这么给到的,题目本身想考察的是carry trade策略,不仅想考察是如何操作的(借低利率币种投资高利率币种),而且还想换另一个角度考察,所以题干说的是“two strategies ”。

其实这也是可以理解的,因为题干想考察的这个点,如果换个问法,比如判断主人公应该采取什么策略,这个策略又名是什么,似乎有些不太专业。所以我们就把它们当成两个策略吧,如果考试遇到这种问法,明确了考察的是carry trade策略,然后又说是两个方法的话,就按本题的思路来解答。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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