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海歌 · 2022年12月02日

该领先指标差距的缩小预示着短期利率的下降

NO.PZ2021052601000011

问题如下:

When the spread between 10-year US Treasury yields and the federal funds rate narrows and at the same time the prime rate stays unchanged, this mix of indicators most likely forecasts future economic:

选项:

A.growth. B.decline. C.stability.

解释:

B is correct. The narrowing spread of this leading indicator foretells a drop in short-term rates and a fall in economic activity. The prime rate is a lagging indicator and typically moves after the economy turns.

该领先指标差距的缩小预示着短期利率的下降和经济活动的下降。优惠利率是一个滞后指标,通常在经济好转后才会变动。


结合当下(2022年),美联储为了应对通胀,今年以来一直在加息。也就是说,短期利率是由SEC根据当前经济情况决定的。

那么在实务中,SEC也会根据本题中的这个依先指标来决定加息或降息吗?



1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年12月03日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


那么在实务中,SEC也会根据本题中的这个依先指标来决定加息或降息吗?

实务中也会的。政策制定者会看非常多的指标,包括领先、同步和滞后指标,来预测未来经济走向,根据预测来制定当下的政策。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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