NO.PZ2021052601000012
问题如下:
Current economic statistics indicating little change in services inflation, rising residential building permits, and increasing average duration of unemployment are best interpreted as:
选项:
A.conflicting evidence about the direction of the economy.
B.evidence that a cyclical upturn is expected to occur in the future.
C.evidence that a cyclical downturn is expected to occur in the future.
解释:
B is correct. Rising building permits—a leading indicator—indicate that an upturn is expected to occur or continue. Increasing average duration of unemployment— a lagging indicator—indicates that a downturn has occurred, whereas the lack of any change in services inflation—also a lagging indicator—is neither negative nor positive for the direction of the economy. Taken together, these statistics indicate that a cyclical upturn may be expected to occur.
不断上升的建筑许可这个先行指标——表明预期会出现或继续好转。失业平均持续时间的增加——这是一个滞后指标——表明衰退已经发生,而服务业通胀没有任何变化——这也是一个滞后指标——对经济方向既不消极也不积极。综上所述,这些统计数字表明可能会出现周期性的好转。
请问失业平均时间增加怎么是好转呢?