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皓月 · 2022年11月24日

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NO.PZ202208300200000401

问题如下:

Based on the results provided for the ALPHA model (Exhibit 1) and its associated documentation, the precision of the model is closest to:

选项:

A.75.4%. B.85.5%. C.95.1%.

解释:

Solution

C is correct. Precision (P) = TP/(TP + FP), where

TP = True positive = 5,290

FP = False positive = Type 1 error = 273

FN = False negative = Type 2 error = 894

P = 5,290/(5,290 + 273)

= 5,290/5,563

= 95.1%.

A is incorrect. The calculation incorrectly uses the total number of predictions in the denominator: 5,290/7,018 = 75.4%.

B is incorrect. The calculation uses the correct equation but incorrectly treats a Type 2 error as a false positive and a Type 1 error as a false negative:

P = TP/(TP + FP)

= 5,290/(5,290 + 894)

= 5,290/6,184

= 85.5%.

为什么FP是273,FP=294啊?我看了半天表格,也没看出来是哪里说了啊?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2022年11月24日

同学你好,

这道题的表格显示乱了,原表格如下:

可以看出Type I error为273,这就是FP的值;Type II error为894,这就是FN的值(本题用不到)。

此后代入公式 Precision (P) = TP/(TP + FP)= 5,290/(5,290 + 273)即可求解。